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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.


Expected RPI:34.0
Current RPI:34
Expected SOS:122
Current Record:25-8
Expected Record:25-8
Current Conf Record:15-6
Expected Conf Record:15-6
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:6-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:12-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:7-0
Current OOC Record:10-2
Expected OOC Record:10-2
Expected OOC RPI:41
Expected OOC SOS:206


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Akron.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-14Cleveland St. (278.0)HorzN65-53W100%0.0
11-18Arkansas (133.0)SECA80-88W100%0.0
11-22Villanova (4.0)BEA75-56L0%0.0
11-24Green Bay (112.0)HorzA66-63L0%0.0
11-27Charleston Southern (298.0)BSthH82-58W100%0.0
12-2Coppin St. (326.0)MEACH77-71W100%0.0
12-4Marshall (128.0)CUSAA65-75W100%0.0
12-12Bethune Cookman (288.0)MEACH81-60W100%0.0
12-21UC Santa Barbara (97.0)BWN70-84W100%0.0
12-23Iona (77.0)MAACN78-64W100%0.0
12-30South Carolina St. (203.0)MEACH78-68W100%0.0
1-2Lipscomb (269.0)ASunH80-73W100%0.0
1-5Buffalo (90.0)MACA71-75W100%0.0
1-8Western Michigan (202.0)MACH62-53W100%0.0
1-12Central Michigan (156.0)MACA92-81L0%0.0
1-15Toledo (182.0)MACA78-64L0%0.0
1-19Eastern Michigan (113.0)MACH92-88W100%0.0
1-23Miami OH (195.0)MACH75-46W100%0.0
1-26Northern Illinois (136.0)MACH76-66W100%0.0
1-30Ball St. (179.0)MACA64-73W100%0.0
2-2Ohio (81.0)MACA68-80W100%0.0
2-5Central Michigan (156.0)MACH92-87W100%0.0
2-9Bowling Green (200.0)MACA68-83W100%0.0
2-13Northern Illinois (136.0)MACA80-79L0%0.0
2-16Buffalo (90.0)MACH80-70W100%0.0
2-19Kent St. (124.0)MACA85-76L0%0.0
2-23Miami OH (195.0)MACA77-64L0%0.0
2-26Bowling Green (200.0)MACH89-54W100%0.0
3-1Ohio (81.0)MACH91-76W100%0.0
3-4Kent St. (124.0)MACH74-60W100%0.0
3-10Eastern Michigan (113.0)MACN65-63W100%0.0
3-11Bowling Green (200.0)MACN80-66W100%0.0
3-12Buffalo (90.0)MACN61-64L0%0.0