live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Bracket Busters - Blog


Through games of Mar 11, 2012.

Buffalo

Conference:MAC
Expected RPI:78.0
Current RPI:78
Expected SOS:120
Current Record:18-10
Expected Record:18-10
Current Conf Record:12-5
Expected Conf Record:12-5
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-5
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:3-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:5-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:10-1
Current OOC Record:6-5
Expected OOC Record:6-5
Expected OOC RPI:102
Expected OOC SOS:101


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
18-1064.29%78.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Buffalo.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11St. Peter's (305.0)MAACH72-65W100%0.0
11-16Cornell (181.0)IvyH68-59W100%0.0
11-19Princeton (87.0)IvyA61-53L0%0.0
11-22Canisius (333.0)MAACH94-59W100%0.0
11-30Dayton (81.0)A10A55-84W100%0.0
12-3St. Bonaventure (72.0)A10H60-66L0%0.0
12-7Niagara (201.0)MAACA74-82W100%0.0
12-10Youngstown St. (170.0)HorzH80-72W100%0.0
12-20Brigham Young (46.0)WCCA93-78L0%0.0
12-28Temple (19.0)A10A87-85L0%0.0
1-7Kent St. (106.0)MACH66-65W100%0.0
1-11Ohio (47.0)MACA60-52L0%0.0
1-14Miami OH (247.0)MACA52-51L0%0.0
1-18Akron (55.0)MACH82-70W100%0.0
1-21Bowling Green (158.0)MACA66-68W100%0.0
1-24Eastern Michigan (243.0)MACH65-47W100%0.0
1-28Northern Illinois (334.0)MACA59-74W100%0.0
2-1Ball St. (256.0)MACH73-57W100%0.0
2-4Toledo (246.0)MACA65-72W100%0.0
2-8Central Michigan (280.0)MACA62-66W100%0.0
2-11Western Michigan (205.0)MACH59-57W100%0.0
2-14Kent St. (106.0)MACA76-71L0%0.0
2-18South Dakota St. (42.0)SumA86-65L0%0.0
2-22Ohio (47.0)MACH77-88L0%0.0
2-25Miami OH (247.0)MACH84-74W100%0.0
2-29Akron (55.0)MACA70-74W100%0.0
3-3Bowling Green (158.0)MACH68-64W100%0.0
3-9Ohio (47.0)MACN74-77L0%0.0