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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Vermont

Conference:AE
Expected RPI:126.0
Current RPI:126
Expected SOS:182
Current Record:20-13
Expected Record:20-13
Current Conf Record:13-6
Expected Conf Record:13-6
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:2-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:5-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:13-2
Current OOC Record:7-7
Expected OOC Record:7-7
Expected OOC RPI:117
Expected OOC SOS:126


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
20-1360.61%126.0100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Vermont.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Eastern Michigan (113.0)MACA70-50L0%0.0
11-15Purdue (15.0)B10A107-79L0%0.0
11-18Quinnipiac (297.0)MAACH83-70W100%0.0
11-21Niagara (315.0)MAACN67-85W100%0.0
11-22Buffalo (90.0)MACN77-71L0%0.0
11-25Florida (55.0)SECA86-62L0%0.0
11-29Marist (318.0)MAACH86-60W100%0.0
12-2Dartmouth (284.0)IvyA63-68W100%0.0
12-5Yale (44.0)IvyA72-54L0%0.0
12-8St. Bonaventure (30.0)A10A80-68L0%0.0
12-16UC Santa Barbara (97.0)BWH75-68W100%0.0
12-22Northeastern (109.0)CAAA77-65L0%0.0
12-29Siena (104.0)MAACH73-64W100%0.0
1-3Harvard (193.0)IvyA62-65W100%0.0
1-6Maine (317.0)AEA72-90W100%0.0
1-9Albany (107.0)AEH57-69L0%0.0
1-16Hartford (292.0)AEA68-83W100%0.0
1-18UMass Lowell (261.0)AEH82-93L0%0.0
1-21Binghamton (299.0)AEA52-61W100%0.0
1-24UMBC (335.0)AEH79-72W100%0.0
1-27New Hampshire (177.0)AEA50-66W100%0.0
1-30Stony Brook (59.0)AEH61-72L0%0.0
2-3Maine (317.0)AEH85-68W100%0.0
2-6Albany (107.0)AEA75-71L0%0.0
2-8UMass Lowell (261.0)AEA100-93L0%0.0
2-14Hartford (292.0)AEH92-81W100%0.0
2-17Binghamton (299.0)AEH78-64W100%0.0
2-20UMBC (335.0)AEA54-99W100%0.0
2-24New Hampshire (177.0)AEH73-67W100%0.0
2-27Stony Brook (59.0)AEA62-76W100%0.0
3-2Maine (317.0)AEH99-82W100%0.0
3-7New Hampshire (177.0)AEH63-56W100%0.0
3-12Stony Brook (59.0)AEA80-74L0%0.0