Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Vermont   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Vermont

Conference:AE
Expected RPI:123.5
Current RPI:129
Expected SOS:317
Current Record:24-9
Expected Record:25-9
Current Conf Record:14-4
Expected Conf Record:15-4
Expected Conf Tourney Record:1-0
Probability of Auto Bid:63.29%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-0
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:9-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:15-4
Current OOC Record:10-5
Expected OOC Record:10-5
Expected OOC RPI:148
Expected OOC SOS:308


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
25-973.53%116.763.29%
24-1070.59%135.136.71%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Vermont.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Loyola MD (216.5)MAACA66-79L0%0.0
11-15Buffalo (108.3)MACA58-57W100%0.0
11-22Rutgers (160.9)BEA77-71W100%0.0
11-24Providence (140.2)BEA64-106L0%0.0
11-27Drexel (147.2)CAAA61-74L0%0.0
11-28Cornell (47.6)IvyN59-67L0%0.0
11-29Toledo (324.5)MACN82-49W100%0.0
12-1Dartmouth (335.0)IvyA63-58W100%0.0
12-5NJ Inst of Technology (341.0)GWCA88-49W100%0.0
12-7Yale (267.0)IvyA72-60W100%0.0
12-13Quinnipiac (146.8)NECH80-77W100%0.0
12-20Delaware (238.8)CAAH50-56L0%0.0
12-28Marist (334.0)MAACA72-62W100%0.0
12-30Mount St. Mary's (171.3)NECA71-69W100%0.0
1-2MD Baltimore County (333.0)AEH73-58W100%0.0
1-7Maine (153.1)AEA64-56W100%0.0
1-10Albany (301.3)AEA71-54W100%0.0
1-17Boston University (136.7)AEH78-58W100%0.0
1-19Hartford (304.5)AEH78-66W100%0.0
1-21Stony Brook (141.4)AEH60-65L0%0.0
1-24Binghamton (228.9)AEA67-73L0%0.0
1-27New Hampshire (242.9)AEA56-75L0%0.0
1-30Albany (301.3)AEH64-46W100%0.0
2-3Maine (153.1)AEH64-51W100%0.0
2-5MD Baltimore County (333.0)AEA79-60W100%0.0
2-9Boston University (136.7)AEA76-75W100%0.0
2-14New Hampshire (242.9)AEH85-76W100%0.0
2-17Hartford (304.5)AEA74-56W100%0.0
2-20Fairfield (81.0)MAACH77-67W100%0.0
2-24Stony Brook (141.4)AEA78-82L0%0.0
2-28Binghamton (228.9)AEH78-69W100%0.0
3-6MD Baltimore County (333.0)AEN76-59W100%0.0
3-7New Hampshire (242.9)AEN57-38W100%0.0