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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.


Expected RPI:292.0
Current RPI:292
Expected SOS:242
Current Record:9-23
Expected Record:9-23
Current Conf Record:5-13
Expected Conf Record:5-13
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-7
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:8-10
Current OOC Record:4-10
Expected OOC Record:4-10
Expected OOC RPI:310
Expected OOC SOS:299


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Hartford.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Central Connecticut (351.0)NECA83-92W100%0.0
11-15Saint Louis (206.0)A10A85-68L0%0.0
11-17Louisville (17.0)ACCA87-52L0%0.0
11-19Saint Peter's (208.0)MAACA66-67W100%0.0
11-24Niagara (315.0)MAACH77-73W100%0.0
11-27North Florida (161.0)ASunH60-81L0%0.0
11-29St. Francis NY (276.0)NECH67-74L0%0.0
12-2Providence (40.0)BEA89-66L0%0.0
12-5Dartmouth (284.0)IvyA74-65L0%0.0
12-9Quinnipiac (297.0)MAACH66-68L0%0.0
12-12Holy Cross (248.0)PatH68-90L0%0.0
12-14Sacred Heart (258.0)NECH80-71W100%0.0
12-30Rider (242.0)MAACA82-80L0%0.0
1-2Yale (44.0)IvyH53-88L0%0.0
1-6UMass Lowell (261.0)AEA80-76L0%0.0
1-13Binghamton (299.0)AEA72-76W100%0.0
1-16Vermont (126.0)AEH68-83L0%0.0
1-18Stony Brook (59.0)AEH43-77L0%0.0
1-21UMBC (335.0)AEA87-98W100%0.0
1-24New Hampshire (177.0)AEA84-71L0%0.0
1-27Maine (317.0)AEH100-105L0%0.0
1-30Albany (107.0)AEH60-86L0%0.0
2-3UMass Lowell (261.0)AEH83-85L0%0.0
2-8Stony Brook (59.0)AEA85-72L0%0.0
2-11Binghamton (299.0)AEH54-68L0%0.0
2-14Vermont (126.0)AEA92-81L0%0.0
2-17UMBC (335.0)AEH88-65W100%0.0
2-20New Hampshire (177.0)AEH63-74L0%0.0
2-24Maine (317.0)AEA74-82W100%0.0
2-27Albany (107.0)AEA75-59L0%0.0
3-2Albany (107.0)AEA59-68W100%0.0
3-7Stony Brook (59.0)AEA80-64L0%0.0