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Through games of Mar 11, 2012.

Providence

Conference:BE
Expected RPI:156.0
Current RPI:156
Expected SOS:97
Current Record:15-17
Expected Record:15-17
Current Conf Record:4-15
Expected Conf Record:4-15
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:1-5
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-7
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:5-2
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:8-0
Current OOC Record:11-2
Expected OOC Record:11-2
Expected OOC RPI:130
Expected OOC SOS:331


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
15-1746.88%156.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Providence.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-12Fairleigh Dickinson (330.0)NECH72-61W100%0.0
11-14Fairfield (115.0)MAACA72-80W100%0.0
11-19Florida A&M (316.0)MEACH87-65W100%0.0
11-22Southern (281.0)SWACH59-53W100%0.0
11-25Iowa St. (33.0)B12N64-54L0%0.0
11-26Northern Iowa (73.0)MVCN62-79L0%0.0
11-29Holy Cross (177.0)PatH82-77W100%0.0
12-1South Carolina (194.0)SECA67-76W100%0.0
12-5Brown (313.0)IvyH80-49W100%0.0
12-8Boston College (244.0)ACCH64-57W100%0.0
12-10Bryant (340.0)NECH72-61W100%0.0
12-20New Hampshire (296.0)AEH67-52W100%0.0
12-23Rhode Island (257.0)A10A61-80W100%0.0
12-27St. John's (159.0)BEA91-67L0%0.0
12-31Georgetown (15.0)BEA49-40L0%0.0
1-4Syracuse (1.0)BEH73-87L0%0.0
1-7Seton Hall (68.0)BEH57-66L0%0.0
1-10Louisville (13.0)BEH90-59W100%0.0
1-14Syracuse (1.0)BEA78-55L0%0.0
1-21Marquette (9.0)BEH72-79L0%0.0
1-25Pittsburgh (96.0)BEA86-74L0%0.0
1-29South Florida (52.0)BEA81-78L0%0.0
2-1Rutgers (163.0)BEH78-67W100%0.0
2-5West Virginia (57.0)BEH84-87L0%0.0
2-7Villanova (121.0)BEA74-72L0%0.0
2-11South Florida (52.0)BEH48-55L0%0.0
2-15Cincinnati (44.0)BEA81-66L0%0.0
2-18Georgetown (15.0)BEH53-63L0%0.0
2-25DePaul (198.0)BEA71-73W100%0.0
2-28Connecticut (32.0)BEH72-70W100%0.0
3-2Notre Dame (39.0)BEA75-69L0%0.0
3-6Seton Hall (68.0)BEN79-47L0%0.0