Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Conference: | BE |

Expected RPI: | 40.0 |

Current RPI: | 40 |

Expected SOS: | 50 |

Current Record: | 23-10 |

Expected Record: | 23-10 |

Current Conf Record: | 11-9 |

Expected Conf Record: | 11-9 |

Expected Conf Tourney Record: | 0-0 |

Probability of Auto Bid: | 0.00% |

Expected Record vs RPI 1-25: | 1-7 |

Expected Record vs RPI 26-50: | 1-0 |

Expected Record vs RPI 51-100: | 6-0 |

Expected Record vs RPI 101-200: | 7-3 |

Expected Record vs RPI 200+: | 8-0 |

Current OOC Record: | 12-1 |

Expected OOC Record: | 12-1 |

Expected OOC RPI: | 37 |

Expected OOC SOS: | 211 |

Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final Record | W-L pctg. | Expected RPI | Probability |
---|---|---|---|

23-10 | 69.70% | 40.0 | 100.00% |

These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.

They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.

The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date | Opponent (Expected RPI) | Conf | Loc | Score | Outcome | Prob(W) | Spread |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|

11-14 | Harvard (193.0) | Ivy | H | 76-64 | W | 100% | 0.0 |

11-18 | Illinois (149.0) | B10 | H | 60-59 | W | 100% | 0.0 |

11-21 | Brown (312.0) | Ivy | H | 94-73 | W | 100% | 0.0 |

11-23 | NJIT (207.0) | ASun | H | 83-76 | W | 100% | 0.0 |

11-26 | Evansville (93.0) | MVC | N | 74-64 | W | 100% | 0.0 |

11-27 | Arizona (26.0) | P12 | N | 65-69 | W | 100% | 0.0 |

11-29 | Michigan St. (12.0) | B10 | N | 64-77 | L | 0% | 0.0 |

12-2 | Hartford (292.0) | AE | H | 89-66 | W | 100% | 0.0 |

12-5 | Rhode Island (119.0) | A10 | A | 72-74 | W | 100% | 0.0 |

12-9 | Boston College (250.0) | ACC | H | 66-51 | W | 100% | 0.0 |

12-12 | Bryant (320.0) | NEC | H | 74-67 | W | 100% | 0.0 |

12-19 | Rider (242.0) | MAAC | H | 73-65 | W | 100% | 0.0 |

12-21 | Massachusetts (171.0) | A10 | A | 66-90 | W | 100% | 0.0 |

12-31 | Butler (57.0) | BE | A | 73-81 | W | 100% | 0.0 |

1-2 | St. John's (246.0) | BE | H | 83-65 | W | 100% | 0.0 |

1-5 | Marquette (110.0) | BE | H | 64-65 | L | 0% | 0.0 |

1-12 | Creighton (100.0) | BE | A | 48-50 | W | 100% | 0.0 |

1-16 | Seton Hall (19.0) | BE | H | 72-81 | L | 0% | 0.0 |

1-19 | Butler (57.0) | BE | H | 71-68 | W | 100% | 0.0 |

1-24 | Villanova (4.0) | BE | A | 76-82 | W | 100% | 0.0 |

1-26 | Xavier (7.0) | BE | H | 68-75 | L | 0% | 0.0 |

1-30 | Georgetown (106.0) | BE | A | 69-73 | W | 100% | 0.0 |

2-2 | DePaul (198.0) | BE | A | 77-70 | L | 0% | 0.0 |

2-6 | Villanova (4.0) | BE | H | 60-72 | L | 0% | 0.0 |

2-10 | Marquette (110.0) | BE | A | 96-91 | L | 0% | 0.0 |

2-13 | Georgetown (106.0) | BE | H | 75-72 | W | 100% | 0.0 |

2-17 | Xavier (7.0) | BE | A | 85-74 | L | 0% | 0.0 |

2-25 | Seton Hall (19.0) | BE | A | 70-52 | L | 0% | 0.0 |

2-27 | DePaul (198.0) | BE | H | 87-66 | W | 100% | 0.0 |

3-2 | Creighton (100.0) | BE | H | 70-66 | W | 100% | 0.0 |

3-5 | St. John's (246.0) | BE | A | 76-90 | W | 100% | 0.0 |

3-10 | Butler (57.0) | BE | N | 74-60 | W | 100% | 0.0 |

3-11 | Villanova (4.0) | BE | N | 76-68 | L | 0% | 0.0 |