live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Bracket Busters - Blog


Through games of Feb 4, 2012.


DePaul

Conference:BE
Expected RPI:193.8
Current RPI:182
Expected SOS:118
Current Record:11-11
Expected Record:13-18
Current Conf Record:2-8
Expected Conf Record:4-15
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-1
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-6
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:4-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:7-0
Current OOC Record:9-3
Expected OOC Record:9-3
Expected OOC RPI:223
Expected OOC SOS:338



RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
19-1359.38%123.00.01%
18-1358.06%132.00.01%
18-1456.25%126.00.04%
17-1454.84%143.00.05%
18-1554.55%125.40.05%
17-1553.12%139.10.41%
18-1652.94%117.50.06%
16-1551.61%155.50.83%
17-1651.52%130.90.39%
17-1750.00%130.20.05%
16-1650.00%150.91.41%
17-1848.57%123.00.01%
16-1748.48%144.01.02%
15-1648.39%170.14.77%
16-1847.06%136.20.12%
15-1746.88%165.94.19%
16-1945.71%131.00.01%
15-1845.45%156.91.65%
14-1745.16%184.114.18%
15-1944.12%153.30.07%
14-1843.75%180.86.54%
14-1942.42%169.91.49%
13-1841.94%198.224.63%
14-2041.18%169.00.02%
13-1940.62%194.65.41%
13-2039.39%183.80.53%
12-1938.71%211.521.75%
12-2037.50%208.32.13%
11-2035.48%223.98.16%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for DePaul.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11Texas Pan American (307.0)GWCH91-72W100%0.0
11-14Mississippi Valley St. (144.1)SWACH80-70W100%0.0
11-24Minnesota (75.9)B10N85-86L0%0.0
11-25Texas Tech (243.2)B12N76-70W100%0.0
11-27Arizona St. (245.5)P12N68-64W100%0.0
12-1Mississippi (79.2)SECH68-70L0%0.0
12-5Wisconsin Milwaukee (127.1)HorzH76-87L0%0.0
12-7Loyola Chicago (309.5)HorzA58-69W100%0.0
12-10Chicago St. (337.0)GWCH102-95W100%0.0
12-14Northern Illinois (337.4)MACA52-75W100%0.0
12-17Arkansas Pine Bluff (325.4)SWACH81-62W100%0.0
12-21Cal Poly (180.9)BWH63-58W100%0.0
1-1Syracuse (3.4)BEH68-87L0%0.0
1-5Pittsburgh (79.7)BEH84-81W100%0.0
1-8Villanova (103.0)BEA87-71L0%0.0
1-10Seton Hall (59.3)BEA94-73L0%0.0
1-14Louisville (28.9)BEA76-59L0%0.0
1-17Georgetown (15.9)BEH75-83L0%0.0
1-22South Florida (104.4)BEH59-75L0%0.0
1-25Rutgers (148.0)BEA64-69W100%0.0
2-1St. John's (160.1)BEH81-87L0%0.0
2-4Cincinnati (90.9)BEA74-66L0%0.0
2-6Marquette (19.0)BEH0-017%-10.6
2-11Notre Dame (71.6)BEA0-014%-11.9
2-15Connecticut (31.9)BEA0-09%-14.6
2-18Louisville (28.9)BEH0-021%-8.9
2-20St. John's (160.1)BEA0-033%-4.9
2-25Providence (154.8)BEH0-051%0.4
2-28West Virginia (35.9)BEA0-08%-15.3
3-3Seton Hall (59.3)BEH0-033%-4.9