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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.


Expected RPI:325.0
Current RPI:325
Expected SOS:197
Current Record:6-24
Expected Record:6-24
Current Conf Record:2-17
Expected Conf Record:2-17
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:2-10
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:4-7
Current OOC Record:4-7
Expected OOC Record:4-7
Expected OOC RPI:289
Expected OOC SOS:290


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Drake.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-16Tulane (227.0)AmerA79-74L0%0.0
11-21UMKC (286.0)WACH73-79L0%0.0
11-23Western Kentucky (153.0)CUSAN81-79W100%0.0
11-24Weber St. (108.0)BSkyN74-58L0%0.0
11-25Pepperdine (129.0)WCCN69-53W100%0.0
11-28Illinois Chicago (346.0)HorzH83-62W100%0.0
12-5Bowling Green (200.0)MACA75-63L0%0.0
12-9DePaul (198.0)BEH71-74L0%0.0
12-12Nevada (118.0)MWCA79-71L0%0.0
12-19Iowa (28.0)B10N70-64L0%0.0
12-22Abilene Christian (321.0)SlndH87-70W100%0.0
12-31Wichita St. (47.0)MVCA67-47L0%0.0
1-3Illinois St. (114.0)MVCH62-67L0%0.0
1-6Indiana St. (172.0)MVCH69-79L0%0.0
1-9Northern Iowa (70.0)MVCA77-44L0%0.0
1-12Evansville (93.0)MVCA84-65L0%0.0
1-17Southern Illinois (138.0)MVCH76-81L0%0.0
1-20Missouri St. (235.0)MVCH70-79L0%0.0
1-23Loyola Chicago (239.0)MVCA68-63L0%0.0
1-26Illinois St. (114.0)MVCA76-64L0%0.0
1-30Bradley (306.0)MVCH80-70W100%0.0
2-2Indiana St. (172.0)MVCA63-56L0%0.0
2-6Northern Iowa (70.0)MVCH66-82L0%0.0
2-9Wichita St. (47.0)MVCH48-74L0%0.0
2-13Southern Illinois (138.0)MVCA75-60L0%0.0
2-17Evansville (93.0)MVCH74-80L0%0.0
2-20Bradley (306.0)MVCA73-70L0%0.0
2-24Missouri St. (235.0)MVCA61-52L0%0.0
2-27Loyola Chicago (239.0)MVCH69-59W100%0.0
3-3Missouri St. (235.0)MVCN69-67L0%0.0