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Through games of Mar 11, 2012.

Drake

Conference:MVC
Expected RPI:133.0
Current RPI:133
Expected SOS:110
Current Record:16-15
Expected Record:16-15
Current Conf Record:10-10
Expected Conf Record:10-10
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:1-4
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-6
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:4-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:9-0
Current OOC Record:6-5
Expected OOC Record:6-5
Expected OOC RPI:162
Expected OOC SOS:201


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
16-1551.61%133.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Drake.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-15Iowa St. (33.0)B12H74-65W100%0.0
11-18Mississippi (61.0)SECN63-59L0%0.0
11-19Winthrop (272.0)BSthN62-66W100%0.0
11-21Virginia (53.0)ACCN52-60L0%0.0
11-26Cal St. Northridge (323.0)BWH73-49W100%0.0
11-30Boise St. (173.0)MWCA108-64L0%0.0
12-3Air Force (168.0)MWCH62-60W100%0.0
12-8Eastern Michigan (243.0)MACH66-53W100%0.0
12-17Iowa (130.0)B10A82-68L0%0.0
12-21Central Arkansas (321.0)SlndH87-64W100%0.0
12-28Indiana St. (129.0)MVCH79-64W100%0.0
12-31Missouri St. (123.0)MVCA72-61L0%0.0
1-3Creighton (24.0)MVCA76-59L0%0.0
1-7Northern Iowa (73.0)MVCH68-83L0%0.0
1-10Bradley (265.0)MVCH82-74W100%0.0
1-13Evansville (131.0)MVCA60-69W100%0.0
1-15Illinois St. (100.0)MVCH77-60W100%0.0
1-18Southern Illinois (255.0)MVCA68-75W100%0.0
1-22Northern Iowa (73.0)MVCA66-52L0%0.0
1-25Creighton (24.0)MVCH69-77L0%0.0
1-28Wichita St. (12.0)MVCH93-86W100%0.0
2-1Indiana St. (129.0)MVCA61-54L0%0.0
2-4Missouri St. (123.0)MVCH39-57L0%0.0
2-8Illinois St. (100.0)MVCA64-53L0%0.0
2-12Evansville (131.0)MVCH78-54W100%0.0
2-15Bradley (265.0)MVCA55-62W100%0.0
2-18New Mexico St. (59.0)WACA71-55L0%0.0
2-22Southern Illinois (255.0)MVCH78-63W100%0.0
2-25Wichita St. (12.0)MVCA81-58L0%0.0
3-1Bradley (265.0)MVCN65-49W100%0.0
3-2Creighton (24.0)MVCN68-61L0%0.0