Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Drake   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Drake

Conference:MVC
Expected RPI:180.1
Current RPI:181
Expected SOS:104
Current Record:14-19
Expected Record:14-19
Current Conf Record:8-12
Expected Conf Record:8-12
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:2-6
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:5-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:6-3
Current OOC Record:6-7
Expected OOC Record:6-7
Expected OOC RPI:232
Expected OOC SOS:231


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
14-1942.42%180.1100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Drake.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-14IUPUI (86.1)SumH82-88L0%0.0
11-17Iowa St. (122.8)B12H70-90L0%0.0
11-20Georgia St. (248.0)CAAN65-58W100%0.0
11-21Akron (84.2)MACN59-63L0%0.0
11-22Central Florida (189.5)CUSAN50-59L0%0.0
11-28Austin Peay (162.2)OVCA78-72W100%0.0
12-4SIU Edwardsville (321.4)OVCH58-60L0%0.0
12-5North Dakota (339.3)GWCH72-63W100%0.0
12-11South Dakota (216.8)GWCH96-81W100%0.0
12-12Binghamton (228.9)AEH77-76W100%0.0
12-19Iowa (211.1)B10A67-71L0%0.0
12-22San Diego St. (24.6)MWCH73-76L0%0.0
12-29Bradley (104.6)MVCH59-67L0%0.0
1-1Wichita St. (42.8)MVCA38-61L0%0.0
1-3Indiana St. (87.5)MVCH46-60L0%0.0
1-6Creighton (114.4)MVCA69-73L0%0.0
1-9Southern Illinois (170.6)MVCA70-65W100%0.0
1-12Missouri St. (90.5)MVCH88-77W100%0.0
1-17Illinois St. (75.7)MVCH69-59W100%0.0
1-20Evansville (249.4)MVCA72-65W100%0.0
1-23Wichita St. (42.8)MVCH78-64W100%0.0
1-27Northern Iowa (18.2)MVCA51-67L0%0.0
1-30Creighton (114.4)MVCH79-74W100%0.0
2-2Bradley (104.6)MVCA65-67L0%0.0
2-6Illinois St. (75.7)MVCA68-71L0%0.0
2-10Northern Iowa (18.2)MVCH48-57L0%0.0
2-13Indiana St. (87.5)MVCA66-76L0%0.0
2-16Southern Illinois (170.6)MVCH79-72W100%0.0
2-20Cal St. Northridge (251.7)BWA90-80W100%0.0
2-24Missouri St. (90.5)MVCA59-75L0%0.0
2-27Evansville (249.4)MVCH53-56L0%0.0
3-4Southern Illinois (170.6)MVCN63-61W100%0.0
3-5Northern Iowa (18.2)MVCN40-55L0%0.0