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Through games of Mar 11, 2012.

Tulane

Conference:CUSA
Expected RPI:250.0
Current RPI:250
Expected SOS:236
Current Record:13-16
Expected Record:13-16
Current Conf Record:3-14
Expected Conf Record:3-14
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:3-9
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:10-2
Current OOC Record:10-2
Expected OOC Record:10-2
Expected OOC RPI:124
Expected OOC SOS:340


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
13-1644.83%250.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Tulane.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11Alabama A&M (342.0)SWACH72-63W100%0.0
11-15Nicholls St. (298.0)SlndH96-50W100%0.0
11-18Maryland Eastern Shore (320.0)MEACH73-52W100%0.0
11-22Navy (327.0)PatA55-57W100%0.0
11-25Alcorn St. (335.0)SWACH83-41W100%0.0
11-27San Diego (192.0)WCCH65-46W100%0.0
11-30Southern (281.0)SWACH78-53W100%0.0
12-3Georgia Tech (197.0)ACCH57-52W100%0.0
12-6Wofford (178.0)SCA61-50L0%0.0
12-11Jacksonville St. (216.0)OVCH59-51W100%0.0
12-22Syracuse (1.0)BEA80-61L0%0.0
12-31Texas Pan American (314.0)GWCA42-53W100%0.0
1-4Central Florida (54.0)CUSAA60-53L0%0.0
1-7Southern Mississippi (20.0)CUSAH66-71L0%0.0
1-14Rice (171.0)CUSAH49-50L0%0.0
1-18Tulsa (120.0)CUSAA60-56L0%0.0
1-21Texas El Paso (147.0)CUSAH66-58W100%0.0
1-25Southern Methodist (212.0)CUSAH80-74W100%0.0
1-28Rice (171.0)CUSAA88-74L0%0.0
2-1Marshall (43.0)CUSAA63-44L0%0.0
2-4Houston (221.0)CUSAH75-54W100%0.0
2-11Texas El Paso (147.0)CUSAA54-52L0%0.0
2-15Memphis (16.0)CUSAH64-82L0%0.0
2-18UAB (112.0)CUSAA81-73L0%0.0
2-22Southern Methodist (212.0)CUSAA64-50L0%0.0
2-25Tulsa (120.0)CUSAH69-73L0%0.0
2-29Houston (221.0)CUSAA82-53L0%0.0
3-3East Carolina (164.0)CUSAH49-66L0%0.0
3-7UAB (112.0)CUSAN72-64L0%0.0