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Through games of Mar 17, 2013.

Mercer

Conference:ASun
Expected RPI:137.0
Current RPI:137
Expected SOS:254
Current Record:21-11
Expected Record:21-11
Current Conf Record:16-5
Expected Conf Record:16-5
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:3-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:18-3
Current OOC Record:5-6
Expected OOC Record:5-6
Expected OOC RPI:148
Expected OOC SOS:163


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
21-1165.62%137.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Mercer.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-16George Mason (162.0)CAAN52-49L0%0.0
11-17Illinois Chicago (169.0)HorzN62-36L0%0.0
11-19Wake Forest (170.0)ACCN74-71L0%0.0
11-25Furman (343.0)SCH73-46W100%0.0
11-28New Mexico (2.0)MWCA76-58L0%0.0
12-2Florida St. (85.0)ACCA56-61W100%0.0
12-5Denver (64.0)WACA69-40L0%0.0
12-8Alabama A&M (329.0)SWACH65-46W100%0.0
12-16Chattanooga (292.0)SCA53-63W100%0.0
12-18Georgia (140.0)SECA58-49L0%0.0
12-22Alabama (60.0)SECA59-66W100%0.0
12-31Stetson (220.0)ASunH70-64W100%0.0
1-2Florida Gulf Coast (94.0)ASunH77-70W100%0.0
1-5Kennesaw St. (341.0)ASunA83-75L0%0.0
1-10North Florida (230.0)ASunA47-66W100%0.0
1-12Jacksonville (281.0)ASunA49-47L0%0.0
1-17East Tennessee St. (275.0)ASunH78-59W100%0.0
1-19South Carolina Upstate (225.0)ASunH82-74W100%0.0
1-24Northern Kentucky (264.0)ASunA63-46L0%0.0
1-26Lipscomb (237.0)ASunA65-71W100%0.0
2-1Kennesaw St. (341.0)ASunH66-42W100%0.0
2-7Jacksonville (281.0)ASunH67-64W100%0.0
2-9North Florida (230.0)ASunH64-44W100%0.0
2-14South Carolina Upstate (225.0)ASunA59-70W100%0.0
2-16East Tennessee St. (275.0)ASunA54-71W100%0.0
2-21Lipscomb (237.0)ASunH83-58W100%0.0
2-23Northern Kentucky (264.0)ASunH63-46W100%0.0
2-28Florida Gulf Coast (94.0)ASunA60-57L0%0.0
3-2Stetson (220.0)ASunA65-77W100%0.0
3-6Lipscomb (237.0)ASunH82-48W100%0.0
3-8South Carolina Upstate (225.0)ASunH72-64W100%0.0
3-9Florida Gulf Coast (94.0)ASunH75-88L0%0.0