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Through games of Mar 11, 2012.

Chattanooga

Conference:SC
Expected RPI:310.0
Current RPI:310
Expected SOS:239
Current Record:8-21
Expected Record:8-21
Current Conf Record:5-14
Expected Conf Record:5-14
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:2-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:6-13
Current OOC Record:3-7
Expected OOC Record:3-7
Expected OOC RPI:264
Expected OOC SOS:140


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
8-2127.59%310.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Chattanooga.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Indiana (17.0)B10A78-53L0%0.0
11-15Butler (113.0)HorzA57-46L0%0.0
11-18Kennesaw St. (331.0)ASunH59-65L0%0.0
11-25Savannah St. (191.0)MEACH65-63W100%0.0
11-27Gardner Webb (293.0)BSthH74-76L0%0.0
12-1Georgia Southern (203.0)SCA84-76L0%0.0
12-3College of Charleston (122.0)SCA87-85L0%0.0
12-10Mercer (132.0)ASunA67-56L0%0.0
12-17Kentucky (2.0)SECA87-62L0%0.0
12-29Longwood (332.0)indH85-50W100%0.0
12-30Utah Valley (230.0)GWCH74-59W100%0.0
1-2Tennessee (86.0)SECA76-63L0%0.0
1-5Western Carolina (220.0)SCH78-62W100%0.0
1-7Appalachian St. (258.0)SCH65-63W100%0.0
1-12Wofford (178.0)SCH51-48W100%0.0
1-14Samford (269.0)SCA81-70L0%0.0
1-19NC Greensboro (231.0)SCA81-72L0%0.0
1-21Elon (228.0)SCA88-87L0%0.0
1-26Davidson (66.0)SCH63-64L0%0.0
1-28Georgia Southern (203.0)SCH72-75L0%0.0
2-2Western Carolina (220.0)SCA82-76L0%0.0
2-4Davidson (66.0)SCA88-61L0%0.0
2-9Elon (228.0)SCH83-75W100%0.0
2-11NC Greensboro (231.0)SCH76-77L0%0.0
2-15Appalachian St. (258.0)SCA79-70L0%0.0
2-18The Citadel (325.0)SCH46-48L0%0.0
2-23Furman (235.0)SCA65-55L0%0.0
2-25Samford (269.0)SCH86-78W100%0.0
3-2Georgia Southern (203.0)SCN76-70L0%0.0