Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Chattanooga   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Chattanooga

Conference:SC
Expected RPI:238.0
Current RPI:238
Expected SOS:222
Current Record:13-18
Expected Record:13-18
Current Conf Record:7-13
Expected Conf Record:7-13
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-5
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:6-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:7-7
Current OOC Record:6-5
Expected OOC Record:6-5
Expected OOC RPI:149
Expected OOC SOS:145


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
13-1841.94%238.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Chattanooga.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-17East Tennessee St. (121.0)ASunH85-76W100%0.0
11-22Richmond (28.0)A10A49-75L0%0.0
11-24Missouri (44.4)B12A56-99L0%0.0
11-27Texas Pan American (336.0)GWCN50-61L0%0.0
11-28Longwood (285.8)indN74-70W100%0.0
12-1Jacksonville St. (298.1)OVCA80-71W100%0.0
12-5Elon (269.0)SCH63-82L0%0.0
12-12Mississippi Valley St. (325.7)SWACH82-60W100%0.0
12-14Georgia Tech (36.8)ACCH64-95L0%0.0
12-19Murray St. (54.4)OVCA62-73L0%0.0
12-29Long Island (240.0)NECH76-59W100%0.0
12-30Eastern Kentucky (154.3)OVCH68-54W100%0.0
1-6Georgia Southern (288.0)SCA75-63W100%0.0
1-11NC Greensboro (249.3)SCH58-45W100%0.0
1-14The Citadel (198.5)SCH56-54W100%0.0
1-16College of Charleston (91.1)SCH66-90L0%0.0
1-21NC Greensboro (249.3)SCA49-62L0%0.0
1-23Elon (269.0)SCA80-83L0%0.0
1-25Wofford (68.8)SCA63-78L0%0.0
1-28Western Carolina (121.9)SCH80-67W100%0.0
1-30Appalachian St. (100.4)SCH85-80W100%0.0
2-4College of Charleston (91.1)SCA74-86L0%0.0
2-6The Citadel (198.5)SCA60-68L0%0.0
2-10Samford (262.1)SCH54-78L0%0.0
2-13Furman (278.9)SCH78-87L0%0.0
2-20Samford (262.1)SCA54-60L0%0.0
2-22Davidson (179.5)SCH78-73W100%0.0
2-25Appalachian St. (100.4)SCA74-80L0%0.0
2-27Western Carolina (121.9)SCA70-78L0%0.0
3-5Georgia Southern (288.0)SCN82-62W100%0.0
3-6College of Charleston (91.1)SCN69-96L0%0.0