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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.


Expected RPI:50.0
Current RPI:50
Expected SOS:205
Current Record:27-5
Expected Record:27-5
Current Conf Record:18-3
Expected Conf Record:18-3
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:100.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:4-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:10-2
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:12-1
Current OOC Record:9-2
Expected OOC Record:9-2
Expected OOC RPI:30
Expected OOC SOS:155


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Chattanooga.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Georgia (62.0)SECA90-92W100%0.0
11-21Illinois (149.0)B10A77-81W100%0.0
11-23Iowa St. (23.0)B12A83-63L0%0.0
11-27Alabama St. (265.0)SWACN95-58W100%0.0
11-28Jacksonville St. (309.0)OVCN52-62W100%0.0
11-30Louisiana Monroe (95.0)SBA64-54L0%0.0
12-12Dayton (21.0)A10A59-61W100%0.0
12-15Tennessee Tech (134.0)OVCH80-69W100%0.0
12-18Kennesaw St. (263.0)ASunH78-66W100%0.0
12-22Radford (192.0)BSthH77-75W100%0.0
12-29Lipscomb (269.0)ASunA56-80W100%0.0
1-2The Citadel (322.0)SCA78-84W100%0.0
1-5Mercer (194.0)SCH74-62W100%0.0
1-9Furman (167.0)SCA70-55L0%0.0
1-11Wofford (199.0)SCA68-77W100%0.0
1-14Western Carolina (166.0)SCH77-58W100%0.0
1-16East Tennessee St. (85.0)SCH94-84W100%0.0
1-21UNC Greensboro (237.0)SCA60-73W100%0.0
1-30Samford (252.0)SCA56-63W100%0.0
2-1The Citadel (322.0)SCH125-85W100%0.0
2-4Wofford (199.0)SCH79-63W100%0.0
2-6Furman (167.0)SCH62-54W100%0.0
2-8Mercer (194.0)SCA66-72W100%0.0
2-11Western Carolina (166.0)SCA67-61L0%0.0
2-13East Tennessee St. (85.0)SCA68-76W100%0.0
2-18VMI (316.0)SCH85-59W100%0.0
2-20UNC Greensboro (237.0)SCH64-79L0%0.0
2-27Samford (252.0)SCH77-66W100%0.0
2-29VMI (316.0)SCA65-67W100%0.0
3-5Samford (252.0)SCN59-54W100%0.0
3-6Western Carolina (166.0)SCN73-69W100%0.0
3-7East Tennessee St. (85.0)SCN73-67W100%0.0