Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Radford   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Radford

Conference:BSth
Expected RPI:169.2
Current RPI:169
Expected SOS:238
Current Record:17-12
Expected Record:17-12
Current Conf Record:14-6
Expected Conf Record:14-6
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:4-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:13-5
Current OOC Record:3-6
Expected OOC Record:3-6
Expected OOC RPI:197
Expected OOC SOS:52


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
17-1258.62%169.2100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Radford.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Navy (264.0)PatH76-65W100%0.0
11-21Duke (2.8)ACCA67-104L0%0.0
11-29Duquesne (112.6)A10A63-71L0%0.0
12-3Winthrop (159.8)BSthA61-59W100%0.0
12-5Presbyterian (329.4)BSthA61-57W100%0.0
12-9Kansas (1.0)B12A64-99L0%0.0
12-22William & Mary (57.0)CAAH68-70L0%0.0
12-27Louisville (38.3)BEA53-79L0%0.0
12-30George Mason (158.1)CAAH80-53W100%0.0
1-2NC Asheville (216.9)BSthH82-74W100%0.0
1-4Gardner Webb (318.0)BSthH75-45W100%0.0
1-9High Point (253.8)BSthA77-83L0%0.0
1-14Coastal Carolina (136.8)BSthA62-52W100%0.0
1-16Charleston Southern (285.0)BSthA55-70L0%0.0
1-21Virginia Military Inst (309.9)BSthH109-91W100%0.0
1-23Liberty (232.0)BSthH55-60L0%0.0
1-25James Madison (241.9)CAAA63-67L0%0.0
1-28Gardner Webb (318.0)BSthA80-73W100%0.0
1-31NC Asheville (216.9)BSthA84-92L0%0.0
2-2Virginia Military Inst (309.9)BSthA111-84W100%0.0
2-7High Point (253.8)BSthH77-63W100%0.0
2-11Charleston Southern (285.0)BSthH61-58W100%0.0
2-13Coastal Carolina (136.8)BSthH51-52L0%0.0
2-16Liberty (232.0)BSthA74-69W100%0.0
2-20NC Wilmington (237.0)CAAH76-68W100%0.0
2-25Presbyterian (329.4)BSthH75-58W100%0.0
2-27Winthrop (159.8)BSthH54-52W100%0.0
3-2Charleston Southern (285.0)BSthH64-61W100%0.0
3-4Winthrop (159.8)BSthN46-61L0%0.0