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Through games of Feb 4, 2012.

Howard

Conference:MEAC
Expected RPI:312.9
Current RPI:312
Expected SOS:273
Current Record:4-18
Expected Record:7-23
Current Conf Record:2-8
Expected Conf Record:5-13
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-1
Probability of Auto Bid:0.23%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-7
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:6-11
Current OOC Record:2-10
Expected OOC Record:2-10
Expected OOC RPI:255
Expected OOC SOS:42


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
12-2037.50%237.00.01%
11-1936.67%254.50.02%
11-2035.48%263.00.05%
10-1934.48%277.00.05%
11-2134.38%253.70.19%
10-2033.33%273.60.36%
10-2132.26%274.40.51%
10-2231.25%272.70.31%
9-2031.03%289.70.80%
9-2130.00%288.72.37%
9-2229.03%289.11.32%
9-2328.12%289.10.53%
8-2127.59%300.06.53%
8-2226.67%299.86.05%
8-2325.81%299.91.97%
8-2425.00%298.40.24%
7-2224.14%310.420.18%
7-2323.33%309.87.73%
7-2422.58%309.01.16%
7-2521.88%308.30.07%
6-2320.69%319.326.94%
6-2420.00%318.23.83%
6-2519.35%315.40.09%
5-2417.24%326.415.16%
5-2516.67%324.90.59%
4-2513.79%331.92.93%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Howard.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11Bowling Green (156.2)MACA63-48L0%0.0
11-16Old Dominion (125.4)CAAA53-43L0%0.0
11-21Rider (213.9)MAACA74-72L0%0.0
11-26William & Mary (305.7)CAAH67-58W100%0.0
11-29American (152.6)PatA77-66L0%0.0
12-4Hampton (302.3)MEACN53-71L0%0.0
12-6Delaware St. (271.9)MEACH72-65W100%0.0
12-10Georgetown (15.9)BEA62-48L0%0.0
12-12St. Francis NY (188.3)NECH71-73L0%0.0
12-15Oregon St. (109.7)P12A93-72L0%0.0
12-19Indiana (23.1)B10A107-50L0%0.0
12-22Delaware (179.7)CAAH88-83W100%0.0
12-29Kansas (9.4)B12A89-34L0%0.0
12-31Kansas St. (50.3)B12A82-46L0%0.0
1-4Coppin St. (202.0)MEACH77-83L0%0.0
1-7Hampton (302.3)MEACA57-55L0%0.0
1-9Norfolk St. (125.3)MEACA68-48L0%0.0
1-14North Carolina A&T (262.0)MEACH65-70L0%0.0
1-16North Carolina Central (222.3)MEACH53-69L0%0.0
1-28Savannah St. (198.2)MEACA71-50L0%0.0
1-30South Carolina St. (337.2)MEACA76-82W100%0.0
2-4Maryland Eastern Shore (319.0)MEACA78-65L0%0.0
2-6Morgan St. (252.1)MEACA0-014%-11.8
2-11Florida A&M (328.2)MEACH0-066%4.5
2-13Bethune Cookman (253.6)MEACH0-041%-2.4
2-18Coppin St. (202.0)MEACA0-012%-12.7
2-20Maryland Eastern Shore (319.0)MEACH0-069%5.3
2-25Delaware St. (271.9)MEACA0-020%-9.1