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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.


Expected RPI:328.0
Current RPI:328
Expected SOS:337
Current Record:10-20
Expected Record:10-20
Current Conf Record:6-11
Expected Conf Record:6-11
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-7
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:8-11
Current OOC Record:4-9
Expected OOC Record:4-9
Expected OOC RPI:279
Expected OOC SOS:240


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Howard.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-14Massachusetts (171.0)A10A85-79L0%0.0
11-15Rutgers (294.0)B10A82-70L0%0.0
11-23Texas Southern (190.0)SWACN87-81W100%0.0
11-25Central Arkansas (339.0)SlndN73-54W100%0.0
11-28William & Mary (67.0)CAAH79-77W100%0.0
12-5North Carolina A&T (340.0)MEACA66-63L0%0.0
12-7North Carolina Central (310.0)MEACA69-71W100%0.0
12-9Purdue (15.0)B10A93-55L0%0.0
12-12Radford (192.0)BSthH91-92L0%0.0
12-19UMBC (335.0)AEH103-93W100%0.0
12-22Central Michigan (156.0)MACA72-52L0%0.0
12-28Columbia (132.0)IvyA72-59L0%0.0
1-2Hawaii (80.0)BWA94-59L0%0.0
1-6Cornell (244.0)IvyH81-84L0%0.0
1-9Coppin St. (326.0)MEACH72-63W100%0.0
1-16Harvard (193.0)IvyH61-69L0%0.0
1-20Delaware St. (345.0)MEACA67-71W100%0.0
1-26Bethune Cookman (288.0)MEACH70-68W100%0.0
1-30Morgan St. (327.0)MEACA83-63L0%0.0
2-1Maryland Eastern Shore (307.0)MEACA85-67L0%0.0
2-6Norfolk St. (225.0)MEACH92-99L0%0.0
2-8Hampton (155.0)MEACH65-68L0%0.0
2-13Coppin St. (326.0)MEACA90-66L0%0.0
2-16Maryland Eastern Shore (307.0)MEACH77-74W100%0.0
2-20Savannah St. (277.0)MEACH56-66L0%0.0
2-22South Carolina St. (203.0)MEACH63-71L0%0.0
2-24Florida A&M (349.0)MEACH63-53W100%0.0
2-27Hampton (155.0)MEACA68-67L0%0.0
2-29Norfolk St. (225.0)MEACA84-66L0%0.0
3-8North Carolina Central (310.0)MEACN68-66L0%0.0