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Through games of Feb 7, 2012.

Hampton

Conference:MEAC
Expected RPI:305.5
Current RPI:323
Expected SOS:338
Current Record:8-15
Expected Record:12-20
Current Conf Record:4-6
Expected Conf Record:8-10
Expected Conf Tourney Record:1-1
Probability of Auto Bid:1.98%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-8
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:11-11
Current OOC Record:4-9
Expected OOC Record:4-10
Expected OOC RPI:312
Expected OOC SOS:326


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
18-1652.94%216.80.08%
17-1651.52%260.00.03%
17-1750.00%232.10.39%
16-1650.00%263.20.12%
16-1748.48%260.60.40%
15-1648.39%276.70.03%
16-1847.06%251.51.05%
15-1746.88%275.70.90%
15-1845.45%273.81.51%
14-1745.16%289.70.77%
15-1944.12%266.11.36%
14-1843.75%287.64.28%
14-1942.42%284.32.14%
13-1841.94%298.54.57%
14-2041.18%280.01.47%
13-1940.62%295.89.45%
13-2039.39%294.12.98%
12-1938.71%307.111.84%
13-2138.24%292.51.00%
12-2037.50%304.211.63%
12-2136.36%303.91.98%
11-2035.48%315.914.94%
12-2235.29%301.70.22%
11-2134.38%313.27.51%
11-2233.33%312.50.81%
11-2332.35%310.20.05%
10-2132.26%323.911.58%
10-2231.25%322.32.23%
10-2330.30%322.80.09%
9-2229.03%331.13.97%
9-2328.12%330.30.21%
8-2325.81%335.30.40%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Hampton.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-12William & Mary (305.0)CAAH73-58W100%0.0
11-17Richmond (139.3)A10A72-51L0%0.0
11-20Rutgers (147.8)BEA66-52L0%0.0
11-22Sacred Heart (237.3)NECN71-78L0%0.0
11-23SIU Edwardsville (305.6)OVCN68-64W100%0.0
11-29High Point (279.0)BSthH68-64W100%0.0
12-1Savannah St. (193.5)MEACH49-65L0%0.0
12-4Howard (300.1)MEACN53-71W100%0.0
12-5Fordham (248.5)A10A54-53L0%0.0
12-7American (153.6)PatA74-72L0%0.0
12-17Liberty (306.4)BSthA74-65L0%0.0
12-20Robert Morris (106.1)NECA64-54L0%0.0
12-29Utah Valley (206.6)GWCN40-42L0%0.0
12-30Longwood (319.3)indN82-79W100%0.0
1-7Howard (300.1)MEACH57-55W100%0.0
1-9James Madison (249.9)CAAA74-67L0%0.0
1-14Coppin St. (202.7)MEACA83-66L0%0.0
1-16Morgan St. (267.3)MEACA68-56L0%0.0
1-21Norfolk St. (123.5)MEACH75-80L0%0.0
1-24South Carolina St. (335.7)MEACH78-66W100%0.0
1-28Coppin St. (202.7)MEACH70-73L0%0.0
1-30Morgan St. (267.3)MEACH68-63W100%0.0
2-6Delaware St. (264.8)MEACA77-69L0%0.0
2-11Norfolk St. (123.5)MEACH0-036%-4.0
2-15Maryland Eastern Shore (319.8)MEACH0-080%9.3
2-18Delaware (178.3)CAAA0-014%-11.6
2-20Delaware St. (264.8)MEACH0-056%1.5
2-25Florida A&M (323.5)MEACA0-055%1.5
2-27Bethune Cookman (257.8)MEACA0-033%-4.9
3-1North Carolina Central (212.0)MEACH0-041%-2.4