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Through games of Mar 16, 2014.


Expected RPI:168.0
Current RPI:168
Expected SOS:260
Current Record:17-13
Expected Record:17-13
Current Conf Record:13-7
Expected Conf Record:13-7
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:4-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:13-7
Current OOC Record:4-6
Expected OOC Record:4-6
Expected OOC RPI:173
Expected OOC SOS:110


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Winthrop.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13USC Upstate (163.0)ASunH82-74W100%0.0
11-16VCU (13.0)A10A92-71L0%0.0
11-19East Tennessee St. (206.0)ASunA66-76W100%0.0
11-27James Madison (233.0)CAAH69-57W100%0.0
12-3Virginia Tech (246.0)ACCA81-63L0%0.0
12-15Appalachian St. (335.0)SCH80-72W100%0.0
12-18North Carolina Central (99.0)MEACA72-66L0%0.0
12-21Wofford (153.0)SCH56-62L0%0.0
12-29Hampton (204.0)MEACA101-95L0%0.0
1-1Dayton (43.0)A10A81-47L0%0.0
1-8Presbyterian (349.0)BSthA67-71W100%0.0
1-11Charleston Southern (268.0)BSthH85-68W100%0.0
1-15Gardner Webb (241.0)BSthH51-56L0%0.0
1-18Coastal Carolina (196.0)BSthA72-73W100%0.0
1-22UNC Asheville (201.0)BSthA81-66L0%0.0
1-25VMI (211.0)BSthH58-57W100%0.0
1-29Radford (240.0)BSthH64-76L0%0.0
2-1High Point (172.0)BSthA65-64L0%0.0
2-4Liberty (311.0)BSthA62-73W100%0.0
2-8Campbell (316.0)BSthH88-62W100%0.0
2-12Longwood (337.0)BSthA59-76W100%0.0
2-15Charleston Southern (268.0)BSthA84-64L0%0.0
2-19Coastal Carolina (196.0)BSthH75-65W100%0.0
2-22Gardner Webb (241.0)BSthA85-79L0%0.0
2-26UNC Asheville (201.0)BSthH107-100W100%0.0
3-1Presbyterian (349.0)BSthH82-60W100%0.0
3-5Liberty (311.0)BSthN77-65W100%0.0
3-7High Point (172.0)BSthN60-62W100%0.0
3-8UNC Asheville (201.0)BSthN79-80W100%0.0
3-9Coastal Carolina (196.0)BSthA76-61L0%0.0