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Tweet Through games of Mar 15, 2015.


Expected RPI:210.0
Current RPI:210
Expected SOS:317
Current Record:16-13
Expected Record:16-13
Current Conf Record:14-7
Expected Conf Record:14-7
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:5-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:11-4
Current OOC Record:2-6
Expected OOC Record:2-6
Expected OOC RPI:315
Expected OOC SOS:329


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Winthrop.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-17Clemson (106.0)ACCA74-77W100%0.0
11-20Savannah St. (330.4)MEACA59-58L0%0.0
11-24East Tennessee St. (192.0)SCH64-69L0%0.0
12-1Savannah St. (330.4)MEACH68-47W100%0.0
12-3Jacksonville St. (304.0)OVCA79-76L0%0.0
12-6Maryland (13.6)B10A82-62L0%0.0
12-17Auburn (128.6)SECA80-62L0%0.0
12-19Southeastern Louisiana (329.0)SlndA81-71L0%0.0
12-31Longwood (316.0)BSthH82-72W100%0.0
1-3High Point (89.0)BSthH87-90L0%0.0
1-8Presbyterian (315.0)BSthA56-57W100%0.0
1-10Gardner Webb (146.0)BSthA65-64L0%0.0
1-14UNC Asheville (249.0)BSthA69-84W100%0.0
1-17Radford (153.4)BSthH77-85L0%0.0
1-22Liberty (347.0)BSthA56-71W100%0.0
1-24Campbell (322.4)BSthH71-63W100%0.0
1-28Coastal Carolina (124.0)BSthA68-75W100%0.0
1-31Radford (153.4)BSthA73-66L0%0.0
2-2Charleston Southern (164.4)BSthH77-55W100%0.0
2-4Liberty (347.0)BSthH74-61W100%0.0
2-11High Point (89.0)BSthA73-72L0%0.0
2-14Gardner Webb (146.0)BSthH71-68W100%0.0
2-18UNC Asheville (249.0)BSthH91-70W100%0.0
2-21Longwood (316.0)BSthA59-83W100%0.0
2-26Campbell (322.4)BSthA65-50L0%0.0
2-28Presbyterian (315.0)BSthH80-53W100%0.0
3-6Radford (153.4)BSthN66-67W100%0.0
3-7Longwood (316.0)BSthN71-58W100%0.0
3-8Coastal Carolina (124.0)BSthN81-70L0%0.0