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Through games of Mar 17, 2013.

Winthrop

Conference:BSth
Expected RPI:269.0
Current RPI:269
Expected SOS:263
Current Record:11-17
Expected Record:11-17
Current Conf Record:7-11
Expected Conf Record:7-11
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:2-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:8-9
Current OOC Record:4-6
Expected OOC Record:4-6
Expected OOC RPI:145
Expected OOC SOS:62


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
11-1739.29%269.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Winthrop.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Indiana St. (74.0)MVCA66-55L0%0.0
11-17Virginia Commonwealth (24.0)A10H54-90L0%0.0
11-28Wofford (250.0)SCA70-55L0%0.0
12-1James Madison (182.0)CAAA71-61L0%0.0
12-15Ohio (67.0)MACA49-50W100%0.0
12-18Ohio St. (10.0)B10A65-55L0%0.0
12-22Auburn (252.0)SECA67-74W100%0.0
12-30Hampton (287.0)MEACH50-43W100%0.0
1-2North Carolina Central (155.0)MEACH57-64L0%0.0
1-5High Point (249.0)BSthH61-74L0%0.0
1-9Charleston Southern (189.0)BSthA75-63L0%0.0
1-12Virginia Military Inst (302.0)BSthA72-54L0%0.0
1-16Presbyterian (340.0)BSthH62-51W100%0.0
1-19Campbell (289.0)BSthA63-59L0%0.0
1-23Gardner Webb (194.0)BSthH61-55W100%0.0
1-26Radford (316.0)BSthA58-57L0%0.0
1-30Coastal Carolina (259.0)BSthH61-48W100%0.0
2-2Liberty (288.0)BSthH66-56W100%0.0
2-6NC Asheville (217.0)BSthA69-56L0%0.0
2-9Longwood (332.0)BSthH56-62L0%0.0
2-13Charleston Southern (189.0)BSthH70-65W100%0.0
2-16Presbyterian (340.0)BSthA64-57L0%0.0
2-19Gardner Webb (194.0)BSthA65-52L0%0.0
2-23Southeastern Louisiana (227.0)SlndH66-52W100%0.0
2-27Coastal Carolina (259.0)BSthA73-54L0%0.0
3-2NC Asheville (217.0)BSthH70-61W100%0.0
3-5Radford (316.0)BSthN58-60W100%0.0
3-7Charleston Southern (189.0)BSthN54-47L0%0.0