Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Winthrop   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Winthrop

Conference:BSth
Expected RPI:159.8
Current RPI:160
Expected SOS:240
Current Record:17-13
Expected Record:17-13
Current Conf Record:15-6
Expected Conf Record:15-6
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:100.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:3-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:14-3
Current OOC Record:2-7
Expected OOC Record:2-7
Expected OOC RPI:245
Expected OOC SOS:155


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
17-1356.67%159.8100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Winthrop.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-17College of Charleston (91.1)SCA57-69L0%0.0
11-21South Carolina Upstate (306.2)ASunH49-46W100%0.0
11-23Clemson (34.3)ACCA66-102L0%0.0
11-30Appalachian St. (100.4)SCA51-70L0%0.0
12-3Radford (169.2)BSthH59-61L0%0.0
12-5High Point (253.8)BSthH82-68W100%0.0
12-16South Carolina Upstate (306.2)ASunA62-53W100%0.0
12-20Charlotte (77.8)A10H47-57L0%0.0
12-22Cincinnati (61.9)BEA57-74L0%0.0
12-29North Carolina St. (92.6)ACCA52-68L0%0.0
1-2Coastal Carolina (136.8)BSthA47-57L0%0.0
1-4Charleston Southern (285.0)BSthA54-57L0%0.0
1-7Virginia Military Inst (309.9)BSthH96-63W100%0.0
1-9Liberty (232.0)BSthH65-62W100%0.0
1-16Presbyterian (329.4)BSthA56-42W100%0.0
1-21NC Asheville (216.9)BSthA53-66L0%0.0
1-23Gardner Webb (318.0)BSthA65-45W100%0.0
1-28Charleston Southern (285.0)BSthH55-53W100%0.0
1-30Coastal Carolina (136.8)BSthH67-64W100%0.0
2-4Liberty (232.0)BSthA67-43W100%0.0
2-6Virginia Military Inst (309.9)BSthA87-83W100%0.0
2-13Presbyterian (329.4)BSthH66-53W100%0.0
2-16Gardner Webb (318.0)BSthH69-64W100%0.0
2-20Eastern Kentucky (154.3)OVCA57-77L0%0.0
2-23NC Asheville (216.9)BSthH68-65W100%0.0
2-25High Point (253.8)BSthA66-71L0%0.0
2-27Radford (169.2)BSthA52-54L0%0.0
3-2Liberty (232.0)BSthH80-72W100%0.0
3-4Radford (169.2)BSthN61-46W100%0.0
3-6Coastal Carolina (136.8)BSthA64-53W100%0.0