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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.


Expected RPI:130.0
Current RPI:130
Expected SOS:284
Current Record:20-9
Expected Record:20-9
Current Conf Record:15-6
Expected Conf Record:15-6
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:6-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:14-2
Current OOC Record:5-3
Expected OOC Record:5-3
Expected OOC RPI:115
Expected OOC SOS:272


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Winthrop.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-14Hampton (155.0)MEACH102-95W100%0.0
11-20Jacksonville St. (309.0)OVCH80-69W100%0.0
11-24USC Upstate (324.0)ASunA78-79W100%0.0
11-27North Carolina St. (123.0)ACCA87-79L0%0.0
12-2Charleston Southern (298.0)BSthA82-83W100%0.0
12-5Presbyterian (319.0)BSthH74-70W100%0.0
12-8Georgia (62.0)SECA74-64L0%0.0
12-16Alabama (73.0)SECA72-60L0%0.0
12-19Georgia Southern (243.0)SBA81-88W100%0.0
12-22Alabama St. (265.0)SWACH92-84W100%0.0
12-31Campbell (308.0)BSthH83-90L0%0.0
1-2Coastal Carolina (164.0)BSthA82-63L0%0.0
1-6UNC Asheville (137.0)BSthA85-84L0%0.0
1-14High Point (158.0)BSthH86-66W100%0.0
1-16Liberty (264.0)BSthH74-58W100%0.0
1-20Gardner Webb (210.0)BSthA58-71W100%0.0
1-24Longwood (323.0)BSthA68-82W100%0.0
1-27Charleston Southern (298.0)BSthH97-72W100%0.0
1-30Radford (192.0)BSthH87-77W100%0.0
2-2Liberty (264.0)BSthA88-77L0%0.0
2-11Longwood (323.0)BSthH88-80W100%0.0
2-13Radford (192.0)BSthA84-86W100%0.0
2-18Coastal Carolina (164.0)BSthH79-67W100%0.0
2-20UNC Asheville (137.0)BSthH81-80W100%0.0
2-25High Point (158.0)BSthA87-85L0%0.0
2-27Campbell (308.0)BSthA71-87W100%0.0
3-4Presbyterian (319.0)BSthN67-53W100%0.0
3-5Gardner Webb (210.0)BSthN82-69W100%0.0
3-6UNC Asheville (137.0)BSthN68-77L0%0.0