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Through games of Feb 7, 2012.

Winthrop

Conference:BSth
Expected RPI:265.9
Current RPI:281
Expected SOS:259
Current Record:8-15
Expected Record:10-19
Current Conf Record:7-7
Expected Conf Record:9-11
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-1
Probability of Auto Bid:1.30%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-9
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:9-6
Current OOC Record:1-8
Expected OOC Record:1-9
Expected OOC RPI:272
Expected OOC SOS:144


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
16-1551.61%141.00.01%
15-1648.39%169.10.07%
14-1646.67%199.60.09%
14-1745.16%192.00.53%
13-1644.83%224.30.13%
14-1843.75%211.70.10%
13-1743.33%218.00.83%
13-1841.94%210.21.40%
12-1741.38%238.32.89%
13-1940.62%226.50.36%
12-1840.00%233.83.90%
12-1938.71%231.62.59%
11-1837.93%254.612.08%
12-2037.50%239.20.38%
11-1936.67%253.78.98%
11-2035.48%252.92.13%
10-1934.48%270.424.34%
11-2134.38%254.10.21%
10-2033.33%272.09.13%
10-2132.26%270.20.62%
9-2031.03%284.720.19%
9-2130.00%284.03.57%
8-2127.59%296.55.46%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Winthrop.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-12Eastern Kentucky (206.1)OVCH59-71L0%0.0
11-15Virginia (40.7)ACCA69-48L0%0.0
11-18Marquette (17.6)BEN95-73L0%0.0
11-19Drake (143.0)MVCN62-66L0%0.0
11-21Drexel (70.1)CAAN45-68L0%0.0
12-1Presbyterian (251.9)BSthA56-59W100%0.0
12-3Gardner Webb (266.4)BSthA62-60L0%0.0
12-15Jacksonville (282.9)ASunA45-59W100%0.0
12-17Clemson (165.8)ACCA60-40L0%0.0
12-20Western Michigan (182.0)MACA60-55L0%0.0
12-27Georgia (139.9)SECA92-86L0%0.0
12-31NC Asheville (121.9)BSthH68-73L0%0.0
1-5Radford (335.2)BSthH70-54W100%0.0
1-7Virginia Military Inst (263.4)BSthH91-84W100%0.0
1-12High Point (279.0)BSthA64-54L0%0.0
1-14Liberty (306.4)BSthA61-64W100%0.0
1-17Campbell (155.0)BSthH51-54L0%0.0
1-19Gardner Webb (266.4)BSthH56-54W100%0.0
1-21Charleston Southern (139.3)BSthA77-66L0%0.0
1-26Liberty (306.4)BSthH65-63W100%0.0
1-28High Point (279.0)BSthH47-52L0%0.0
2-2Radford (335.2)BSthA63-77W100%0.0
2-4Virginia Military Inst (263.4)BSthA86-79L0%0.0
2-9Campbell (155.0)BSthA0-023%-8.0
2-11Coastal Carolina (122.7)BSthH0-037%-3.7
2-14Presbyterian (251.9)BSthH0-060%2.7
2-18Appalachian St. (254.2)SCA0-039%-3.1
2-25NC Asheville (121.9)BSthA0-015%-11.4