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Through games of Mar 11, 2012.

Longwood

Conference:ind
Expected RPI:332.0
Current RPI:332
Expected SOS:335
Current Record:6-21
Expected Record:6-21
Current Conf Record:0-2
Expected Conf Record:0-2
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:6-14
Current OOC Record:6-19
Expected OOC Record:6-19
Expected OOC RPI:327
Expected OOC SOS:325


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
6-2122.22%332.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Longwood.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11Navy (327.0)PatH70-78L0%0.0
11-15Canisius (333.0)MAACH83-87L0%0.0
11-18Brigham Young (46.0)WCCA92-60L0%0.0
11-22Nevada (65.0)WACA80-78L0%0.0
11-25Prairie View A&M (294.0)SWACN67-70W100%0.0
11-26Missouri Kansas City (266.0)SumN53-93L0%0.0
12-2South Carolina St. (343.0)MEACH92-81W100%0.0
12-3Virginia (53.0)ACCA86-53L0%0.0
12-12Virginia Military Inst (259.0)BSthH110-89W100%0.0
12-19Vanderbilt (18.0)SECA99-71L0%0.0
12-23Seton Hall (68.0)BEH61-87L0%0.0
12-29Chattanooga (310.0)SCA85-50L0%0.0
12-30Hampton (306.0)MEACN82-79L0%0.0
1-3Army (301.0)PatA96-77L0%0.0
1-7NJ Inst of Technology (304.0)GWCH85-70W100%0.0
1-11Brown (313.0)IvyA77-79W100%0.0
1-14Dartmouth (328.0)IvyA83-67L0%0.0
1-16Fairleigh Dickinson (330.0)NECA83-87W100%0.0
1-22Eastern Kentucky (226.0)OVCA78-71L0%0.0
1-24Florida Gulf Coast (208.0)ASunA101-58L0%0.0
2-6South Carolina St. (343.0)MEACA74-58L0%0.0
2-11Seattle (277.0)indH99-100L0%0.0
2-18North Dakota (242.0)GWCH59-67L0%0.0
2-20Norfolk St. (128.0)MEACA66-52L0%0.0
2-25NJ Inst of Technology (304.0)GWCA94-51L0%0.0
2-27Gonzaga (25.0)WCCA92-60L0%0.0
2-29Seattle (277.0)indA111-74L0%0.0