live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Bracket Busters - Blog


Through games of Feb 7, 2012.

Campbell

Conference:BSth
Expected RPI:155.0
Current RPI:165
Expected SOS:280
Current Record:15-11
Expected Record:19-13
Current Conf Record:10-5
Expected Conf Record:13-7
Expected Conf Tourney Record:1-1
Probability of Auto Bid:11.28%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:5-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:13-6
Current OOC Record:5-6
Expected OOC Record:5-7
Expected OOC RPI:193
Expected OOC SOS:287


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
22-1166.67%100.91.83%
21-1263.64%113.47.36%
20-1262.50%136.45.04%
19-1261.29%156.94.34%
20-1360.61%125.110.02%
19-1359.38%148.214.44%
18-1358.06%171.311.88%
19-1457.58%138.56.96%
18-1456.25%161.614.31%
17-1454.84%187.110.77%
18-1554.55%152.02.08%
17-1553.12%177.25.59%
16-1551.61%203.03.80%
17-1651.52%170.20.23%
16-1650.00%195.20.65%
15-1648.39%219.20.69%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Campbell.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11Houston Baptist (311.7)GWCH82-68W100%0.0
11-14East Carolina (158.6)CUSAH76-74W100%0.0
11-17North Carolina A&T (269.1)MEACH94-66W100%0.0
11-21Chicago St. (335.1)GWCA69-75W100%0.0
11-23Iowa (149.1)B10A61-77W100%0.0
11-25Creighton (24.5)MVCA104-81L0%0.0
12-1Liberty (306.4)BSthH96-82W100%0.0
12-3High Point (279.0)BSthH72-62W100%0.0
12-14Houston Baptist (311.7)GWCA87-76L0%0.0
12-17Virginia Tech (95.1)ACCA85-60L0%0.0
12-19NC Wilmington (208.3)CAAA67-65L0%0.0
12-22Appalachian St. (254.2)SCA77-74L0%0.0
12-29North Carolina St. (64.3)ACCA87-81L0%0.0
1-2Coastal Carolina (122.7)BSthH70-65W100%0.0
1-5Charleston Southern (139.3)BSthA91-73L0%0.0
1-7Presbyterian (251.9)BSthA65-77W100%0.0
1-12NC Asheville (121.9)BSthH82-89L0%0.0
1-14Gardner Webb (266.4)BSthH74-68W100%0.0
1-17Winthrop (265.9)BSthA51-54W100%0.0
1-19Radford (335.2)BSthA65-73W100%0.0
1-21Virginia Military Inst (263.4)BSthH80-73W100%0.0
1-26Gardner Webb (266.4)BSthA78-72L0%0.0
1-28NC Asheville (121.9)BSthA95-84L0%0.0
2-2Charleston Southern (139.3)BSthH62-57W100%0.0
2-4Presbyterian (251.9)BSthH67-69L0%0.0
2-7Coastal Carolina (122.7)BSthA75-81W100%0.0
2-9Winthrop (265.9)BSthH0-077%8.0
2-18Northwestern St. (179.3)SlndA0-047%-0.9
2-22High Point (279.0)BSthA0-056%1.6
2-25Liberty (306.4)BSthA0-069%5.4