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Through games of Mar 11, 2012.

Charlotte

Conference:A10
Expected RPI:167.0
Current RPI:167
Expected SOS:129
Current Record:13-17
Expected Record:13-17
Current Conf Record:5-12
Expected Conf Record:5-12
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:2-6
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:3-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:8-0
Current OOC Record:8-5
Expected OOC Record:8-5
Expected OOC RPI:127
Expected OOC SOS:233


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
13-1743.33%167.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Charlotte.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11North Carolina Central (233.0)MEACH73-57W100%0.0
11-15Central Michigan (280.0)MACA75-77W100%0.0
11-19Lamar (108.0)SlndA72-54L0%0.0
11-22East Tennessee St. (179.0)ASunH69-70L0%0.0
11-26Wright St. (224.0)HorzA66-70W100%0.0
12-3East Carolina (164.0)CUSAA64-76W100%0.0
12-6Radford (329.0)BSthA49-57W100%0.0
12-10Davidson (66.0)SCH84-61W100%0.0
12-19Coppin St. (276.0)MEACH74-63W100%0.0
12-22Miami FL (60.0)ACCH61-76L0%0.0
12-28Arkansas (110.0)SECA80-67L0%0.0
12-31Memphis (16.0)CUSAA67-58L0%0.0
1-4Richmond (127.0)A10H75-70W100%0.0
1-7Saint Joseph's (69.0)A10A52-57W100%0.0
1-11Massachusetts (76.0)A10A85-75L0%0.0
1-14St. Louis (31.0)A10H67-68L0%0.0
1-18Kennesaw St. (331.0)ASunH74-63W100%0.0
1-21George Washington (188.0)A10A60-52L0%0.0
1-25Temple (19.0)A10H57-79L0%0.0
1-28Xavier (41.0)A10H70-74L0%0.0
2-1La Salle (90.0)A10A85-72L0%0.0
2-4Fordham (240.0)A10A62-69W100%0.0
2-11Rhode Island (257.0)A10H73-66W100%0.0
2-15Dayton (81.0)A10A75-65L0%0.0
2-18Richmond (127.0)A10A53-52L0%0.0
2-22George Washington (188.0)A10H72-62W100%0.0
2-25St. Bonaventure (72.0)A10H56-72L0%0.0
2-29Duquesne (109.0)A10H77-88L0%0.0
3-3Xavier (41.0)A10A72-63L0%0.0
3-6Saint Joseph's (69.0)A10A80-64L0%0.0