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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.


Expected RPI:234.0
Current RPI:234
Expected SOS:211
Current Record:14-19
Expected Record:14-19
Current Conf Record:10-10
Expected Conf Record:10-10
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-7
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:3-7
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:11-4
Current OOC Record:4-9
Expected OOC Record:4-9
Expected OOC RPI:275
Expected OOC SOS:221


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Charlotte.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Elon (160.0)CAAH74-85L0%0.0
11-16East Carolina (217.0)AmerA88-74L0%0.0
11-19Furman (167.0)SCH77-68W100%0.0
11-25Syracuse (72.0)ACCN83-70L0%0.0
11-26Michigan (56.0)B10N47-102L0%0.0
11-27Washington (83.0)P12N66-71L0%0.0
12-1Davidson (64.0)A10H74-109L0%0.0
12-5Miami FL (9.0)ACCA88-60L0%0.0
12-9Campbell (308.0)BSthH70-76L0%0.0
12-19Appalachian St. (259.0)SBA66-82W100%0.0
12-22Georgetown (106.0)BEH59-62L0%0.0
12-29The Citadel (322.0)SCH111-93W100%0.0
1-2Old Dominion (140.0)CUSAA74-65L0%0.0
1-7Southern Miss (314.0)CUSAA76-82W100%0.0
1-9Louisiana Tech (122.0)CUSAA93-90L0%0.0
1-14Middle Tennessee (78.0)CUSAH72-73L0%0.0
1-16UAB (88.0)CUSAH72-74L0%0.0
1-21Marshall (128.0)CUSAH103-95W100%0.0
1-23Western Kentucky (153.0)CUSAH88-71W100%0.0
1-28FIU (270.0)CUSAA69-72W100%0.0
1-30Florida Atlantic (300.0)CUSAA82-77L0%0.0
2-3North Carolina A&T (340.0)MEACA72-92W100%0.0
2-6Old Dominion (140.0)CUSAH69-74L0%0.0
2-11Rice (279.0)CUSAH102-73W100%0.0
2-13North Texas (295.0)CUSAH103-79W100%0.0
2-18Marshall (128.0)CUSAA87-72L0%0.0
2-20Western Kentucky (153.0)CUSAA59-54L0%0.0
2-25UTSA (347.0)CUSAH114-108W100%0.0
2-27UTEP (215.0)CUSAH88-78W100%0.0
3-3Rice (279.0)CUSAA75-88W100%0.0
3-5North Texas (295.0)CUSAA80-77L0%0.0
3-9Rice (279.0)CUSAN79-69W100%0.0
3-10Middle Tennessee (78.0)CUSAN79-61L0%0.0