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Through games of Mar 17, 2013.

UAB

Conference:CUSA
Expected RPI:144.0
Current RPI:144
Expected SOS:107
Current Record:15-17
Expected Record:15-17
Current Conf Record:8-10
Expected Conf Record:8-10
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:4-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:10-1
Current OOC Record:7-7
Expected OOC Record:7-7
Expected OOC RPI:164
Expected OOC SOS:181


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
15-1746.88%144.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for UAB.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-14Creighton (25.0)MVCA77-60L0%0.0
11-18Navy (308.0)PatH82-63W100%0.0
11-20Prairie View A&M (315.0)SWACH76-70W100%0.0
11-23Illinois St. (117.0)MVCN77-65L0%0.0
11-24Texas Christian (238.0)B12N76-73L0%0.0
11-27Troy (279.0)SBA55-75W100%0.0
12-1North Carolina (17.0)ACCA102-84L0%0.0
12-5Middle Tennessee (28.0)SBA84-64L0%0.0
12-8South Alabama (154.0)SBH92-78W100%0.0
12-16Rutgers (109.0)BEA88-79L0%0.0
12-20Louisiana Monroe (305.0)SBH76-69W100%0.0
12-29Northeastern (159.0)CAAH83-63W100%0.0
1-2Georgia Southern (266.0)SCH65-61W100%0.0
1-5Dayton (114.0)A10A78-71L0%0.0
1-9Central Florida (103.0)CUSAA64-48L0%0.0
1-12Memphis (12.0)CUSAH53-69L0%0.0
1-19Southern Mississippi (31.0)CUSAA74-59L0%0.0
1-23East Carolina (100.0)CUSAH85-91L0%0.0
1-26Houston (197.0)CUSAA66-61L0%0.0
1-30Texas El Paso (95.0)CUSAH78-72W100%0.0
2-2Southern Mississippi (31.0)CUSAH75-79L0%0.0
2-6Tulsa (127.0)CUSAA63-70W100%0.0
2-9Marshall (208.0)CUSAH75-61W100%0.0
2-13East Carolina (100.0)CUSAA74-61L0%0.0
2-16Rice (324.0)CUSAH80-57W100%0.0
2-23Marshall (208.0)CUSAA48-52W100%0.0
2-27Tulane (175.0)CUSAA71-76W100%0.0
3-2Southern Methodist (219.0)CUSAH74-69W100%0.0
3-6Central Florida (103.0)CUSAH70-74L0%0.0
3-9Memphis (12.0)CUSAA86-71L0%0.0
3-13Southern Methodist (219.0)CUSAN53-52W100%0.0
3-14Southern Mississippi (31.0)CUSAN81-66L0%0.0