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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.


Expected RPI:88.0
Current RPI:88
Expected SOS:263
Current Record:25-6
Expected Record:25-6
Current Conf Record:16-3
Expected Conf Record:16-3
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:3-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:6-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:16-0
Current OOC Record:9-3
Expected OOC Record:9-3
Expected OOC RPI:123
Expected OOC SOS:303


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for UAB.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Auburn (175.0)SECA75-74L0%0.0
11-16Alabama St. (265.0)SWACH72-70W100%0.0
11-19Troy (293.0)SBA63-79W100%0.0
11-22Jacksonville St. (309.0)OVCH61-55W100%0.0
11-27Illinois (149.0)B10N72-58L0%0.0
11-28Virginia Tech (89.0)ACCN77-82L0%0.0
12-1Georgia St. (180.0)SBH64-57W100%0.0
12-5Illinois St. (114.0)MVCA61-74W100%0.0
12-13Seattle (287.0)WACH79-73W100%0.0
12-16USC Upstate (324.0)ASunH96-54W100%0.0
12-19South Florida (230.0)AmerA68-79W100%0.0
12-29Stephen F. Austin (61.0)SlndH76-66W100%0.0
1-3Middle Tennessee (78.0)CUSAH78-67W100%0.0
1-7UTSA (347.0)CUSAH104-82W100%0.0
1-9UTEP (215.0)CUSAH87-80W100%0.0
1-14Old Dominion (140.0)CUSAA71-72W100%0.0
1-16Charlotte (234.0)CUSAA72-74W100%0.0
1-21Rice (279.0)CUSAH82-70W100%0.0
1-23North Texas (295.0)CUSAH78-57W100%0.0
1-28Western Kentucky (153.0)CUSAA69-62L0%0.0
1-30Marshall (128.0)CUSAA78-81W100%0.0
2-4FIU (270.0)CUSAH74-69W100%0.0
2-6Florida Atlantic (300.0)CUSAH104-67W100%0.0
2-11Southern Miss (314.0)CUSAA77-80W100%0.0
2-13Louisiana Tech (122.0)CUSAA85-76L0%0.0
2-21Middle Tennessee (78.0)CUSAA67-77W100%0.0
2-25Marshall (128.0)CUSAH95-91W100%0.0
2-27Western Kentucky (153.0)CUSAH71-67W100%0.0
3-3FIU (270.0)CUSAA60-77W100%0.0
3-5Florida Atlantic (300.0)CUSAA70-73W100%0.0
3-10Western Kentucky (153.0)CUSAH77-88L0%0.0