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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.


Expected RPI:347.0
Current RPI:347
Expected SOS:301
Current Record:4-26
Expected Record:4-26
Current Conf Record:3-16
Expected Conf Record:3-16
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:0-7
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:4-14
Current OOC Record:1-10
Expected OOC Record:1-10
Expected OOC RPI:345
Expected OOC SOS:302


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for UTSA.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Loyola Chicago (239.0)MVCA76-64L0%0.0
11-15Clemson (131.0)ACCA78-45L0%0.0
11-17Creighton (100.0)BEA103-78L0%0.0
11-21Southern Utah (336.0)BSkyA79-82W100%0.0
11-23Central Arkansas (339.0)SlndN98-84L0%0.0
11-25Texas Southern (190.0)SWACN91-80L0%0.0
12-2Texas St. (238.0)SBA76-53L0%0.0
12-8Texas (27.0)B12A116-50L0%0.0
12-12Texas A&M Corpus Chris (84.0)SlndH79-85L0%0.0
12-19Utah Valley (272.0)WACH78-83L0%0.0
12-22Cal Poly (236.0)BWH73-88L0%0.0
1-1North Texas (295.0)CUSAH66-70L0%0.0
1-3Rice (279.0)CUSAH85-80W100%0.0
1-7UAB (88.0)CUSAA104-82L0%0.0
1-9Middle Tennessee (78.0)CUSAA79-71L0%0.0
1-16UTEP (215.0)CUSAH71-67W100%0.0
1-21FIU (270.0)CUSAH56-72L0%0.0
1-23Florida Atlantic (300.0)CUSAH71-86L0%0.0
1-28Louisiana Tech (122.0)CUSAA85-75L0%0.0
1-30Southern Miss (314.0)CUSAA86-70L0%0.0
2-4Western Kentucky (153.0)CUSAH71-83L0%0.0
2-6Marshall (128.0)CUSAH91-109L0%0.0
2-11Florida Atlantic (300.0)CUSAA79-73L0%0.0
2-13FIU (270.0)CUSAA79-65L0%0.0
2-18Louisiana Tech (122.0)CUSAH74-87L0%0.0
2-20Southern Miss (314.0)CUSAH74-53W100%0.0
2-25Charlotte (234.0)CUSAA114-108L0%0.0
2-27Old Dominion (140.0)CUSAA78-56L0%0.0
3-5UTEP (215.0)CUSAA81-74L0%0.0
3-8Florida Atlantic (300.0)CUSAN82-58L0%0.0