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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.


Expected RPI:215.0
Current RPI:215
Expected SOS:281
Current Record:18-14
Expected Record:18-14
Current Conf Record:11-9
Expected Conf Record:11-9
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:6-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:12-6
Current OOC Record:7-5
Expected OOC Record:7-5
Expected OOC RPI:199
Expected OOC SOS:242


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for UTEP.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-21Texas St. (238.0)SBH77-62W100%0.0
11-22Alcorn St. (253.0)SWACH88-66W100%0.0
11-24Florida A&M (349.0)MEACH72-54W100%0.0
11-27Southern Illinois (138.0)MVCN66-71W100%0.0
11-28Colorado St. (181.0)MWCN90-99W100%0.0
12-2New Mexico St. (111.0)WACA73-59L0%0.0
12-5UT Arlington (105.0)SBH62-76L0%0.0
12-13Washington St. (212.0)P12A84-68L0%0.0
12-19New Mexico St. (111.0)WACH53-73L0%0.0
12-21Norfolk St. (225.0)MEACH76-85L0%0.0
12-22Sam Houston St. (178.0)SlndH87-68W100%0.0
12-29UT Rio Grande Valley (338.0)WACH85-64W100%0.0
1-1Rice (279.0)CUSAH61-60W100%0.0
1-3North Texas (295.0)CUSAH84-75W100%0.0
1-7Middle Tennessee (78.0)CUSAA78-72L0%0.0
1-9UAB (88.0)CUSAA87-80L0%0.0
1-16UTSA (347.0)CUSAA71-67L0%0.0
1-21Florida Atlantic (300.0)CUSAH71-56W100%0.0
1-23FIU (270.0)CUSAH69-79L0%0.0
1-28Southern Miss (314.0)CUSAA71-58L0%0.0
1-31Louisiana Tech (122.0)CUSAA78-70L0%0.0
2-4Marshall (128.0)CUSAH112-108W100%0.0
2-6Western Kentucky (153.0)CUSAH93-89W100%0.0
2-11FIU (270.0)CUSAA74-84W100%0.0
2-13Florida Atlantic (300.0)CUSAA82-89W100%0.0
2-18Southern Miss (314.0)CUSAH78-73W100%0.0
2-20Louisiana Tech (122.0)CUSAH91-80W100%0.0
2-25Old Dominion (140.0)CUSAA74-53L0%0.0
2-27Charlotte (234.0)CUSAA88-78L0%0.0
3-5UTSA (347.0)CUSAH81-74W100%0.0
3-9FIU (270.0)CUSAN85-77W100%0.0
3-10Marshall (128.0)CUSAN87-85L0%0.0