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Through games of Feb 4, 2012.

Texas

Conference:B12
Expected RPI:61.2
Current RPI:66
Expected SOS:26
Current Record:14-9
Expected Record:20-13
Current Conf Record:4-6
Expected Conf Record:10-10
Expected Conf Tourney Record:1-1
Probability of Auto Bid:6.82%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:2-7
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:3-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:7-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:7-0
Current OOC Record:10-3
Expected OOC Record:10-3
Expected OOC RPI:63
Expected OOC SOS:127


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
25-973.53%12.20.10%
24-1070.59%17.90.88%
23-1069.70%31.10.40%
22-1068.75%43.00.63%
23-1167.65%24.52.95%
22-1166.67%37.73.26%
23-1265.71%24.40.05%
21-1165.62%51.44.74%
22-1264.71%32.45.03%
21-1263.64%46.88.14%
22-1362.86%32.90.32%
20-1262.50%61.412.40%
21-1361.76%42.24.66%
20-1360.61%56.69.08%
21-1460.00%43.40.90%
19-1359.38%71.916.31%
20-1458.82%54.52.74%
19-1457.58%71.17.27%
20-1557.14%55.20.67%
18-1456.25%83.610.00%
19-1555.88%69.01.31%
18-1554.55%86.94.22%
19-1654.29%67.30.15%
17-1553.12%99.71.96%
18-1652.94%81.50.36%
17-1651.52%98.60.99%
17-1750.00%99.00.01%
16-1650.00%117.30.29%
16-1748.48%114.40.12%
16-1847.06%107.00.01%
15-1746.88%129.50.04%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Texas.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Boston University (167.4)AEH82-46W100%0.0
11-15Rhode Island (256.0)A10H100-90W100%0.0
11-19Oregon St. (109.7)P12N100-95L0%0.0
11-21North Carolina St. (66.6)ACCN74-77L0%0.0
11-26Sam Houston St. (285.4)SlndH56-40W100%0.0
11-29North Texas (197.7)SBH73-57W100%0.0
12-3UCLA (106.2)P12A59-69W100%0.0
12-6Texas Arlington (84.9)SlndH80-62W100%0.0
12-10Texas St. (317.1)SlndH86-52W100%0.0
12-13Nicholls St. (315.8)SlndH93-40W100%0.0
12-17Temple (28.2)A10H77-65W100%0.0
12-21North Carolina (5.7)ACCA82-63L0%0.0
12-31Rice (181.0)CUSAH73-59W100%0.0
1-4Iowa St. (47.8)B12A77-71L0%0.0
1-7Oklahoma St. (127.8)B12H58-49W100%0.0
1-11Texas A&M (162.5)B12H61-51W100%0.0
1-14Missouri (13.3)B12A84-73L0%0.0
1-18Kansas St. (50.3)B12A84-80L0%0.0
1-21Kansas (9.4)B12H66-69L0%0.0
1-24Iowa St. (47.8)B12H62-55W100%0.0
1-28Baylor (10.1)B12A76-71L0%0.0
1-30Missouri (13.3)B12H66-67L0%0.0
2-4Texas Tech (243.2)B12H74-57W100%0.0
2-6Texas A&M (162.5)B12A0-070%5.8
2-11Kansas St. (50.3)B12H0-063%3.6
2-14Oklahoma (96.2)B12A0-060%2.8
2-18Oklahoma St. (127.8)B12A0-066%4.5
2-20Baylor (10.1)B12H0-053%0.9
2-25Texas Tech (243.2)B12A0-090%14.2
2-29Oklahoma (96.2)B12H0-081%9.6
3-3Kansas (9.4)B12A0-018%-9.8