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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.


Expected RPI:1.0
Current RPI:1
Expected SOS:1
Current Record:29-4
Expected Record:29-4
Current Conf Record:18-3
Expected Conf Record:18-3
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:100.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:9-3
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:6-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:5-0
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:6-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:3-0
Current OOC Record:11-1
Expected OOC Record:11-1
Expected OOC RPI:5
Expected OOC SOS:21


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Kansas.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Northern Colorado (304.0)BSkyH109-72W100%0.0
11-17Michigan St. (12.0)B10N79-73L0%0.0
11-24UCLA (102.0)P12N73-92W100%0.0
11-25Vanderbilt (63.0)SECN70-63W100%0.0
12-1Loyola MD (255.0)PatH94-61W100%0.0
12-5Harvard (193.0)IvyH75-69W100%0.0
12-9Holy Cross (248.0)PatH92-59W100%0.0
12-12Oregon St. (33.0)P12H82-67W100%0.0
12-19Montana (145.0)BSkyH88-46W100%0.0
12-22San Diego St. (41.0)MWCA57-70W100%0.0
12-29UC Irvine (75.0)BWH78-53W100%0.0
1-2Baylor (25.0)B12H102-74W100%0.0
1-4Oklahoma (6.0)B12H109-106W100%0.0
1-9Texas Tech (36.0)B12A59-69W100%0.0
1-12West Virginia (10.0)B12A74-63L0%0.0
1-16TCU (174.0)B12H70-63W100%0.0
1-19Oklahoma St. (170.0)B12A86-67L0%0.0
1-23Texas (27.0)B12H76-67W100%0.0
1-25Iowa St. (23.0)B12A85-72L0%0.0
1-30Kentucky (11.0)SECH90-84W100%0.0
2-3Kansas St. (92.0)B12H77-59W100%0.0
2-6TCU (174.0)B12A56-75W100%0.0
2-9West Virginia (10.0)B12H75-65W100%0.0
2-13Oklahoma (6.0)B12A72-76W100%0.0
2-15Oklahoma St. (170.0)B12H94-67W100%0.0
2-20Kansas St. (92.0)B12A63-72W100%0.0
2-23Baylor (25.0)B12A60-66W100%0.0
2-27Texas Tech (36.0)B12H67-58W100%0.0
2-29Texas (27.0)B12A56-86W100%0.0
3-5Iowa St. (23.0)B12H85-78W100%0.0
3-10Kansas St. (92.0)B12N85-63W100%0.0
3-11Baylor (25.0)B12N70-66W100%0.0
3-12West Virginia (10.0)B12N81-71W100%0.0