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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.


Expected RPI:174.0
Current RPI:174
Expected SOS:44
Current Record:12-21
Expected Record:12-21
Current Conf Record:3-17
Expected Conf Record:3-17
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-12
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:2-4
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:3-2
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:7-0
Current OOC Record:9-4
Expected OOC Record:9-4
Expected OOC RPI:177
Expected OOC SOS:283


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for TCU.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Southeastern Louisiana (331.0)SlndH90-77W100%0.0
11-19Houston Baptist (224.0)SlndH90-63W100%0.0
11-21South Dakota St. (29.0)SumH67-76L0%0.0
11-24Rhode Island (119.0)A10N66-60L0%0.0
11-25Illinois St. (114.0)MVCN60-71W100%0.0
12-2SMU (13.0)AmerH70-75L0%0.0
12-5Colgate (241.0)PatH76-49W100%0.0
12-8Washington (83.0)P12A92-67L0%0.0
12-11Prairie View A&M (334.0)SWACH73-55W100%0.0
12-20Abilene Christian (321.0)SlndH80-69W100%0.0
12-23Bradley (306.0)MVCA49-53W100%0.0
12-28Delaware St. (345.0)MEACH75-47W100%0.0
1-2Oklahoma St. (170.0)B12A69-48L0%0.0
1-4West Virginia (10.0)B12H87-95L0%0.0
1-9Texas (27.0)B12H58-57W100%0.0
1-13Baylor (25.0)B12A82-54L0%0.0
1-16Kansas (1.0)B12A70-63L0%0.0
1-18Texas Tech (36.0)B12H69-76L0%0.0
1-23Iowa St. (23.0)B12H60-73L0%0.0
1-26Texas (27.0)B12A71-54L0%0.0
1-30Tennessee (143.0)SECH75-63W100%0.0
2-2Oklahoma (6.0)B12A95-72L0%0.0
2-6Kansas (1.0)B12H56-75L0%0.0
2-8Oklahoma St. (170.0)B12H63-56W100%0.0
2-13West Virginia (10.0)B12A73-42L0%0.0
2-16Kansas St. (92.0)B12H49-63L0%0.0
2-20Iowa St. (23.0)B12A92-83L0%0.0
2-23Texas Tech (36.0)B12A83-79L0%0.0
2-27Baylor (25.0)B12H71-86L0%0.0
3-2Kansas St. (92.0)B12A79-54L0%0.0
3-5Oklahoma (6.0)B12H67-75L0%0.0
3-9Texas Tech (36.0)B12N62-67W100%0.0
3-10West Virginia (10.0)B12N86-66L0%0.0