live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Bracket Busters - Blog


Through games of Mar 11, 2012.

Tennessee

Conference:SEC
Expected RPI:86.0
Current RPI:86
Expected SOS:35
Current Record:17-14
Expected Record:17-14
Current Conf Record:10-7
Expected Conf Record:10-7
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:1-6
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:3-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:2-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:7-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:4-0
Current OOC Record:7-7
Expected OOC Record:7-7
Expected OOC RPI:194
Expected OOC SOS:130


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
17-1454.84%86.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Tennessee.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11NC Greensboro (231.0)SCH92-63W100%0.0
11-16Louisiana Monroe (317.0)SBH85-62W100%0.0
11-21Duke (5.0)ACCN77-67L0%0.0
11-22Memphis (16.0)CUSAN97-99L0%0.0
11-28Oakland (139.0)SumA89-81L0%0.0
12-3Pittsburgh (96.0)BEH56-61L0%0.0
12-10Austin Peay (193.0)OVCH70-74L0%0.0
12-14College of Charleston (122.0)SCA71-65L0%0.0
12-20NC Asheville (104.0)BSthH72-68W100%0.0
12-23East Tennessee St. (179.0)ASunH66-63W100%0.0
12-29The Citadel (325.0)SCH86-55W100%0.0
1-2Chattanooga (310.0)SCH76-63W100%0.0
1-4Memphis (16.0)CUSAA69-51L0%0.0
1-7Florida (30.0)SECH67-56W100%0.0
1-12Mississippi St. (75.0)SECA62-58L0%0.0
1-14Kentucky (2.0)SECH62-65L0%0.0
1-18Georgia (101.0)SECA57-53L0%0.0
1-21Connecticut (32.0)BEH60-57W100%0.0
1-24Vanderbilt (18.0)SECA65-47L0%0.0
1-28Auburn (145.0)SECH64-49W100%0.0
1-31Kentucky (2.0)SECA69-44L0%0.0
2-4Georgia (101.0)SECH73-62W100%0.0
2-8South Carolina (194.0)SECH69-57W100%0.0
2-11Florida (30.0)SECA70-75W100%0.0
2-15Arkansas (110.0)SECH77-58W100%0.0
2-18Alabama (36.0)SECA62-50L0%0.0
2-22Mississippi (61.0)SECH73-60W100%0.0
2-25South Carolina (194.0)SECA64-73W100%0.0
2-29Louisiana St. (84.0)SECA69-74W100%0.0
3-3Vanderbilt (18.0)SECH68-61W100%0.0
3-9Mississippi (61.0)SECN72-77L0%0.0