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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.


Expected RPI:143.0
Current RPI:143
Expected SOS:54
Current Record:15-19
Expected Record:15-19
Current Conf Record:8-13
Expected Conf Record:8-13
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:5-10
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:6-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:3-1
Current OOC Record:7-6
Expected OOC Record:7-6
Expected OOC RPI:113
Expected OOC SOS:53


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Tennessee.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13UNC Asheville (137.0)BSthH82-78W100%0.0
11-16Georgia Tech (69.0)ACCA69-67L0%0.0
11-19Marshall (128.0)CUSAH84-74W100%0.0
11-22Gardner Webb (210.0)BSthH89-64W100%0.0
11-24Army (214.0)PatH95-80W100%0.0
11-27George Washington (68.0)A10N73-70L0%0.0
11-28Nebraska (165.0)B10N71-82L0%0.0
12-12Butler (57.0)BEA94-86L0%0.0
12-16Florida Atlantic (300.0)CUSAH81-62W100%0.0
12-19Gonzaga (46.0)WCCA86-79L0%0.0
12-22East Tennessee St. (85.0)SCH76-67W100%0.0
12-29Tennessee St. (152.0)OVCH74-69W100%0.0
1-2Auburn (175.0)SECA83-77L0%0.0
1-6Florida (55.0)SECH83-69W100%0.0
1-9Texas A&M (18.0)SECH88-92L0%0.0
1-13Georgia (62.0)SECA81-72L0%0.0
1-16Mississippi St. (154.0)SECA75-80W100%0.0
1-20Vanderbilt (63.0)SECH74-88L0%0.0
1-23South Carolina (65.0)SECH78-69W100%0.0
1-26Alabama (73.0)SECA63-57L0%0.0
1-30TCU (174.0)B12A75-63L0%0.0
2-2Kentucky (11.0)SECH84-77W100%0.0
2-6Arkansas (133.0)SECA85-67L0%0.0
2-9Auburn (175.0)SECH71-45W100%0.0
2-13Missouri (222.0)SECA75-64L0%0.0
2-18Kentucky (11.0)SECA80-70L0%0.0
2-20LSU (94.0)SECH81-65W100%0.0
2-24South Carolina (65.0)SECA84-58L0%0.0
2-27Arkansas (133.0)SECH65-75L0%0.0
3-1Vanderbilt (63.0)SECA86-69L0%0.0
3-5Mississippi (96.0)SECH60-83L0%0.0
3-9Auburn (175.0)SECN97-59W100%0.0
3-10Vanderbilt (63.0)SECN65-67W100%0.0
3-11LSU (94.0)SECN84-75L0%0.0