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Through games of Mar 11, 2012.

Auburn

Conference:SEC
Expected RPI:145.0
Current RPI:145
Expected SOS:71
Current Record:15-16
Expected Record:15-16
Current Conf Record:5-12
Expected Conf Record:5-12
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:4-6
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:4-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:7-0
Current OOC Record:10-4
Expected OOC Record:10-4
Expected OOC RPI:113
Expected OOC SOS:231


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
15-1648.39%145.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Auburn.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11McNeese St. (174.0)SlndH84-62W100%0.0
11-14Kennesaw St. (331.0)ASunH68-55W100%0.0
11-25Nicholls St. (298.0)SlndH78-57W100%0.0
11-28Arkansas Pine Bluff (302.0)SWACH72-59W100%0.0
12-2Seton Hall (68.0)BEA81-59L0%0.0
12-14South Florida (52.0)BEH52-40W100%0.0
12-17North Florida (180.0)ASunH84-71W100%0.0
12-19Florida A&M (316.0)MEACH76-69W100%0.0
12-22Hawaii (204.0)WACA62-65W100%0.0
12-23Long Beach St. (34.0)BWN43-64L0%0.0
12-25Texas El Paso (147.0)CUSAN83-76L0%0.0
12-30Georgia Southern (203.0)SCH78-75W100%0.0
1-2Bethune Cookman (239.0)MEACH67-41W100%0.0
1-4Florida St. (11.0)ACCA85-56L0%0.0
1-7Vanderbilt (18.0)SECA65-35L0%0.0
1-11Kentucky (2.0)SECH53-68L0%0.0
1-14Mississippi (61.0)SECH69-68W100%0.0
1-17Louisiana St. (84.0)SECA65-58L0%0.0
1-21South Carolina (194.0)SECH63-52W100%0.0
1-25Arkansas (110.0)SECA56-53L0%0.0
1-28Tennessee (86.0)SECA64-49L0%0.0
2-1Georgia (101.0)SECH59-51W100%0.0
2-4Mississippi St. (75.0)SECA91-88L0%0.0
2-7Alabama (36.0)SECH50-68L0%0.0
2-11Mississippi (61.0)SECA61-54L0%0.0
2-18Mississippi St. (75.0)SECH65-55W100%0.0
2-21Florida (30.0)SECA63-47L0%0.0
2-25Arkansas (110.0)SECH71-77L0%0.0
2-29Alabama (36.0)SECA55-49L0%0.0
3-3Louisiana St. (84.0)SECH67-52W100%0.0
3-8Mississippi (61.0)SECN68-54L0%0.0