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Through games of Feb 7, 2012.

Mississippi

Conference:SEC
Expected RPI:79.8
Current RPI:51
Expected SOS:33
Current Record:14-8
Expected Record:18-14
Current Conf Record:4-4
Expected Conf Record:8-10
Expected Conf Tourney Record:1-1
Probability of Auto Bid:0.37%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-5
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:2-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:3-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:9-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:4-0
Current OOC Record:10-4
Expected OOC Record:10-4
Expected OOC RPI:60
Expected OOC SOS:121


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
23-1069.70%19.00.05%
22-1068.75%32.60.05%
21-1067.74%42.70.15%
23-1167.65%21.70.07%
22-1166.67%25.80.11%
21-1165.62%39.10.74%
22-1264.71%26.70.20%
20-1164.52%52.21.06%
21-1263.64%38.21.00%
20-1262.50%51.83.76%
21-1361.76%33.40.82%
19-1261.29%65.43.96%
20-1360.61%48.72.29%
19-1359.38%62.510.08%
20-1458.82%44.30.52%
18-1358.06%78.38.69%
19-1457.58%59.41.69%
18-1456.25%71.814.63%
19-1555.88%53.50.32%
17-1454.84%90.414.37%
18-1554.55%67.30.74%
17-1553.12%83.211.34%
18-1652.94%63.50.24%
16-1551.61%103.212.15%
17-1651.52%81.10.39%
17-1750.00%73.70.03%
16-1650.00%96.03.81%
16-1748.48%94.10.08%
15-1648.39%115.25.24%
15-1746.88%109.70.49%
14-1745.16%126.30.92%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Mississippi.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11Louisiana Monroe (324.7)SBH60-38W100%0.0
11-14Grambling (341.9)SWACH69-39W100%0.0
11-18Drake (143.0)MVCN63-59W100%0.0
11-20Marquette (17.6)BEN96-66L0%0.0
11-21Texas Christian (133.2)MWCN80-69W100%0.0
11-25Miami FL (57.7)ACCH64-61W100%0.0
12-1DePaul (195.3)BEA68-70W100%0.0
12-4Penn St. (172.5)B10A70-72W100%0.0
12-10Mississippi Valley St. (143.0)SWACH80-56W100%0.0
12-14Louisiana Lafayette (158.5)SBH66-54W100%0.0
12-17Southern Mississippi (18.2)CUSAA86-82L0%0.0
12-21Middle Tennessee (40.8)SBN56-68L0%0.0
12-30Dayton (83.7)A10A62-50L0%0.0
1-3Southern Methodist (217.6)CUSAH50-48W100%0.0
1-7Louisiana St. (91.6)SECA81-55L0%0.0
1-11Arkansas (71.4)SECH71-63W100%0.0
1-14Auburn (159.9)SECA69-68L0%0.0
1-18Mississippi St. (48.3)SECH75-68W100%0.0
1-21Georgia (139.9)SECA63-66W100%0.0
1-26Florida (17.2)SECH60-64L0%0.0
1-28South Carolina (178.0)SECH66-62W100%0.0
2-4Alabama (29.7)SECA69-67L0%0.0
2-9Mississippi St. (48.3)SECA0-026%-7.0
2-11Auburn (159.9)SECH0-077%8.2
2-16Vanderbilt (35.8)SECH0-039%-3.2
2-18Kentucky (3.5)SECA0-03%-20.0
2-22Tennessee (140.6)SECA0-038%-3.5
2-25Louisiana St. (91.6)SECH0-056%1.7
2-28Arkansas (71.4)SECA0-030%-5.6
3-3Alabama (29.7)SECH0-031%-5.3