live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Bracket Busters - Blog


Through games of Mar 11, 2012.

Arkansas

Conference:SEC
Expected RPI:110.0
Current RPI:110
Expected SOS:60
Current Record:18-14
Expected Record:18-14
Current Conf Record:6-11
Expected Conf Record:6-11
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:2-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:2-6
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:9-2
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:5-1
Current OOC Record:12-3
Expected OOC Record:12-3
Expected OOC RPI:62
Expected OOC SOS:167


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
18-1456.25%110.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Arkansas.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11South Carolina Upstate (140.0)ASunH83-63W100%0.0
11-16Oakland (139.0)SumH91-68W100%0.0
11-18Houston (221.0)CUSAN78-87L0%0.0
11-22Utah Valley (230.0)GWCH67-59W100%0.0
11-26Grambling (341.0)SWACH86-44W100%0.0
11-30Mississippi Valley St. (144.0)SWACH97-64W100%0.0
12-3Connecticut (32.0)BEA75-62L0%0.0
12-10Oklahoma (137.0)B12A78-63L0%0.0
12-17Southeastern Louisiana (318.0)SlndH62-55W100%0.0
12-20Eastern Kentucky (226.0)OVCH71-57W100%0.0
12-22Louisiana Tech (160.0)WACH77-63W100%0.0
12-28Charlotte (167.0)A10H80-67W100%0.0
12-30Texas Southern (234.0)SWACH77-49W100%0.0
1-3Savannah St. (191.0)MEACH83-66W100%0.0
1-7Mississippi St. (75.0)SECH98-88W100%0.0
1-11Mississippi (61.0)SECA71-63L0%0.0
1-14Louisiana St. (84.0)SECH69-60W100%0.0
1-17Kentucky (2.0)SECA86-63L0%0.0
1-21Michigan (14.0)B10H66-64W100%0.0
1-25Auburn (145.0)SECH56-53W100%0.0
1-28Alabama (36.0)SECA72-66L0%0.0
1-31Vanderbilt (18.0)SECH82-74W100%0.0
2-4Louisiana St. (84.0)SECA71-65L0%0.0
2-8Georgia (101.0)SECA81-59L0%0.0
2-11South Carolina (194.0)SECH76-65W100%0.0
2-15Tennessee (86.0)SECA77-58L0%0.0
2-18Florida (30.0)SECH68-98L0%0.0
2-23Alabama (36.0)SECH68-79L0%0.0
2-25Auburn (145.0)SECA71-77W100%0.0
2-28Mississippi (61.0)SECH75-77L0%0.0
3-3Mississippi St. (75.0)SECA79-59L0%0.0
3-8Louisiana St. (84.0)SECN70-54L0%0.0