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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.


Expected RPI:93.0
Current RPI:93
Expected SOS:181
Current Record:24-9
Expected Record:24-9
Current Conf Record:14-7
Expected Conf Record:14-7
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:3-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:6-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:15-0
Current OOC Record:10-2
Expected OOC Record:10-2
Expected OOC RPI:57
Expected OOC SOS:223


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Evansville.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-15Southeast Missouri St. (342.0)OVCH80-65W100%0.0
11-21Belmont (98.0)OVCH93-88W100%0.0
11-26Providence (40.0)BEN74-64L0%0.0
11-27Santa Clara (251.0)WCCN57-69W100%0.0
11-29UC Irvine (75.0)BWN75-56W100%0.0
12-1Alabama St. (265.0)SWACH88-56W100%0.0
12-5Murray St. (169.0)OVCA81-85W100%0.0
12-8Arkansas (133.0)SECA89-76L0%0.0
12-12Mississippi Valley St. (330.0)SWACH95-60W100%0.0
12-17Norfolk St. (225.0)MEACH84-70W100%0.0
12-20Fresno St. (66.0)MWCA77-85W100%0.0
12-22Alabama A&M (332.0)SWACH91-70W100%0.0
12-30Indiana St. (172.0)MVCH70-62W100%0.0
1-2Missouri St. (235.0)MVCA59-76W100%0.0
1-6Wichita St. (47.0)MVCA67-64L0%0.0
1-9Bradley (306.0)MVCH67-35W100%0.0
1-12Drake (325.0)MVCH84-65W100%0.0
1-15Illinois St. (114.0)MVCA55-66W100%0.0
1-19Loyola Chicago (239.0)MVCH74-66W100%0.0
1-24Indiana St. (172.0)MVCA82-65L0%0.0
1-28Southern Illinois (138.0)MVCA78-85W100%0.0
1-31Wichita St. (47.0)MVCH65-78L0%0.0
2-3Northern Iowa (70.0)MVCA57-54L0%0.0
2-6Missouri St. (235.0)MVCH83-64W100%0.0
2-11Illinois St. (114.0)MVCH60-70L0%0.0
2-14Loyola Chicago (239.0)MVCA73-74W100%0.0
2-17Drake (325.0)MVCA74-80W100%0.0
2-20Southern Illinois (138.0)MVCH83-71W100%0.0
2-23Bradley (306.0)MVCA55-67W100%0.0
2-27Northern Iowa (70.0)MVCH52-54L0%0.0
3-4Missouri St. (235.0)MVCN66-56W100%0.0
3-5Indiana St. (172.0)MVCN68-42W100%0.0
3-6Northern Iowa (70.0)MVCN54-56L0%0.0