Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Evansville   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Evansville

Conference:MVC
Expected RPI:249.4
Current RPI:250
Expected SOS:123
Current Record:8-21
Expected Record:8-21
Current Conf Record:3-16
Expected Conf Record:3-16
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-7
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:2-10
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:4-1
Current OOC Record:5-5
Expected OOC Record:5-5
Expected OOC RPI:254
Expected OOC SOS:313


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
8-2127.59%249.4100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Evansville.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-18SIU Edwardsville (321.4)OVCH76-46W100%0.0
11-21Butler (11.9)HorzH60-64L0%0.0
11-28Miami OH (145.1)MACA58-82L0%0.0
12-1Tennessee Tech (196.0)OVCA91-90W100%0.0
12-4Alabama St. (275.4)SWACH61-57W100%0.0
12-8Western Kentucky (133.5)SBA57-63L0%0.0
12-17Georgia Southern (288.0)SCH75-58W100%0.0
12-19Tennessee Martin (338.0)OVCH84-63W100%0.0
12-22Austin Peay (162.2)OVCA68-71L0%0.0
12-29Missouri St. (90.5)MVCH60-74L0%0.0
1-1Northern Iowa (18.2)MVCA46-65L0%0.0
1-3Creighton (114.4)MVCH64-72L0%0.0
1-6Illinois St. (75.7)MVCH63-82L0%0.0
1-10Indiana St. (87.5)MVCA55-69L0%0.0
1-13Illinois St. (75.7)MVCA56-70L0%0.0
1-16Southern Illinois (170.6)MVCH57-65L0%0.0
1-20Drake (180.1)MVCH65-72L0%0.0
1-23Bradley (104.6)MVCA64-74L0%0.0
1-27Missouri St. (90.5)MVCA66-76L0%0.0
1-31Indiana St. (87.5)MVCH56-63L0%0.0
2-3Creighton (114.4)MVCA71-84L0%0.0
2-6Bradley (104.6)MVCH63-83L0%0.0
2-9Wichita St. (42.8)MVCH65-62W100%0.0
2-13Southern Illinois (170.6)MVCA64-80L0%0.0
2-17Wichita St. (42.8)MVCA70-76L0%0.0
2-20Illinois Chicago (291.0)HorzH80-82L0%0.0
2-23Northern Iowa (18.2)MVCH55-54W100%0.0
2-27Drake (180.1)MVCA56-53W100%0.0
3-4Missouri St. (90.5)MVCN46-52L0%0.0