live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Bracket Busters - Blog


Through games of Mar 17, 2013.

Evansville

Conference:MVC
Expected RPI:106.0
Current RPI:106
Expected SOS:102
Current Record:17-14
Expected Record:17-14
Current Conf Record:10-9
Expected Conf Record:10-9
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:2-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:3-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:7-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:5-2
Current OOC Record:7-5
Expected OOC Record:7-5
Expected OOC RPI:128
Expected OOC SOS:135


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
17-1454.84%106.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Evansville.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-10Notre Dame (35.0)BEA58-49L0%0.0
11-15Buffalo (215.0)MACH50-56L0%0.0
11-16Yale (198.0)IvyH66-56W100%0.0
11-17Western Illinois (122.0)SumH49-44W100%0.0
11-20Tennessee Tech (242.0)OVCA50-62W100%0.0
11-26Alabama A&M (329.0)SWACH72-46W100%0.0
12-1Colorado St. (18.0)MWCA79-72L0%0.0
12-5Miami OH (258.0)MACH94-68W100%0.0
12-8Murray St. (110.0)OVCH70-82L0%0.0
12-15Alabama St. (328.0)SWACH80-67W100%0.0
12-22Butler (22.0)A10A75-67L0%0.0
12-29Creighton (25.0)MVCA87-70L0%0.0
1-2Missouri St. (203.0)MVCH62-59W100%0.0
1-5Southern Illinois (192.0)MVCH85-68W100%0.0
1-9Northern Iowa (83.0)MVCA59-62W100%0.0
1-13Wichita St. (37.0)MVCH71-67W100%0.0
1-16Drake (143.0)MVCA83-69L0%0.0
1-19Indiana St. (74.0)MVCA72-62L0%0.0
1-23Bradley (190.0)MVCH66-56W100%0.0
1-26Illinois St. (117.0)MVCA67-62L0%0.0
1-29Northern Iowa (83.0)MVCH54-51W100%0.0
2-2Missouri St. (203.0)MVCA62-61L0%0.0
2-5Bradley (190.0)MVCA76-70L0%0.0
2-10Drake (143.0)MVCH84-78W100%0.0
2-13Southern Illinois (192.0)MVCA65-56L0%0.0
2-16Creighton (25.0)MVCH68-71L0%0.0
2-20Illinois St. (117.0)MVCH79-62W100%0.0
2-23Wright St. (129.0)HorzA58-70W100%0.0
2-27Wichita St. (37.0)MVCA56-59W100%0.0
3-2Indiana St. (74.0)MVCH84-68W100%0.0
3-8Indiana St. (74.0)MVCN50-51L0%0.0