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Through games of Mar 11, 2012.

Evansville

Conference:MVC
Expected RPI:131.0
Current RPI:131
Expected SOS:84
Current Record:15-15
Expected Record:15-15
Current Conf Record:10-10
Expected Conf Record:10-10
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:1-6
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:3-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:5-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:6-2
Current OOC Record:5-5
Expected OOC Record:5-5
Expected OOC RPI:201
Expected OOC SOS:169


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
15-1550.00%131.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Evansville.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-12Butler (113.0)HorzH80-77W100%0.0
11-16Indiana (17.0)B10H73-94L0%0.0
11-23Illinois Chicago (297.0)HorzA79-75L0%0.0
11-29Alabama St. (308.0)SWACH62-55W100%0.0
12-3Texas Christian (114.0)MWCH68-70L0%0.0
12-6North Carolina (3.0)ACCA97-48L0%0.0
12-10North Carolina A&T (289.0)MEACH86-65W100%0.0
12-17Tennessee Tech (138.0)OVCH70-72L0%0.0
12-20Miami OH (247.0)MACA75-77W100%0.0
12-29Southern Illinois (255.0)MVCH78-60W100%0.0
1-1Northern Iowa (73.0)MVCA65-76W100%0.0
1-4Wichita St. (12.0)MVCH66-67L0%0.0
1-7Illinois St. (100.0)MVCA75-73L0%0.0
1-10Indiana St. (129.0)MVCA80-78L0%0.0
1-13Drake (133.0)MVCH60-69L0%0.0
1-15Missouri St. (123.0)MVCA82-87W100%0.0
1-18Bradley (265.0)MVCH90-67W100%0.0
1-21Illinois St. (100.0)MVCH79-71W100%0.0
1-25Wichita St. (12.0)MVCA86-74L0%0.0
1-29Indiana St. (129.0)MVCH81-90L0%0.0
2-1Bradley (265.0)MVCA62-92W100%0.0
2-4Southern Illinois (255.0)MVCA53-52L0%0.0
2-7Creighton (24.0)MVCH65-57W100%0.0
2-12Drake (133.0)MVCA78-54L0%0.0
2-15Northern Iowa (73.0)MVCH63-62W100%0.0
2-18Western Illinois (150.0)SumH68-45W100%0.0
2-21Creighton (24.0)MVCA93-92L0%0.0
2-25Missouri St. (123.0)MVCH75-70W100%0.0
3-2Missouri St. (123.0)MVCN72-64W100%0.0
3-3Creighton (24.0)MVCN71-99L0%0.0