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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.


Expected RPI:98.0
Current RPI:98
Expected SOS:170
Current Record:19-11
Expected Record:19-11
Current Conf Record:12-5
Expected Conf Record:12-5
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:7-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:11-2
Current OOC Record:7-6
Expected OOC Record:7-6
Expected OOC RPI:77
Expected OOC SOS:98


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Belmont.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Marquette (110.0)BEA80-83W100%0.0
11-16Arizona St. (99.0)P12A83-74L0%0.0
11-18Western Kentucky (153.0)CUSAH90-85W100%0.0
11-21Evansville (93.0)MVCA93-88L0%0.0
11-23South Alabama (240.0)SBN85-98W100%0.0
11-24Kennesaw St. (263.0)ASunA55-80W100%0.0
11-28BYU (76.0)WCCA95-81L0%0.0
12-1Lipscomb (269.0)ASunH105-89W100%0.0
12-3Valparaiso (49.0)HorzA61-57L0%0.0
12-7Lipscomb (269.0)ASunA84-93W100%0.0
12-17Middle Tennessee (78.0)CUSAA83-62L0%0.0
12-19Cleveland St. (278.0)HorzA67-65L0%0.0
12-28Valparaiso (49.0)HorzH85-81W100%0.0
12-31Southeast Missouri St. (342.0)OVCA82-92W100%0.0
1-6SIU Edwardsville (305.0)OVCA77-85W100%0.0
1-9Eastern Illinois (271.0)OVCH85-59W100%0.0
1-14Murray St. (169.0)OVCH81-73W100%0.0
1-16Austin Peay (184.0)OVCH76-58W100%0.0
1-21Tennessee Martin (213.0)OVCA72-82W100%0.0
1-24Tennessee St. (152.0)OVCH103-95W100%0.0
1-28Jacksonville St. (309.0)OVCA63-72W100%0.0
1-30Tennessee Tech (134.0)OVCA89-79L0%0.0
2-4Morehead St. (127.0)OVCH73-67W100%0.0
2-6Eastern Kentucky (211.0)OVCH78-88L0%0.0
2-10Jacksonville St. (309.0)OVCH81-73W100%0.0
2-13Morehead St. (127.0)OVCA78-77L0%0.0
2-18Eastern Kentucky (211.0)OVCA78-86W100%0.0
2-20Tennessee Tech (134.0)OVCH95-86W100%0.0
2-28Tennessee St. (152.0)OVCA87-72L0%0.0
3-4Austin Peay (184.0)OVCH96-97L0%0.0