Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Belmont   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Belmont

Conference:ASun
Expected RPI:136.8
Current RPI:136
Expected SOS:220
Current Record:19-12
Expected Record:19-12
Current Conf Record:14-7
Expected Conf Record:14-7
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:7-2
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:12-6
Current OOC Record:5-5
Expected OOC Record:5-5
Expected OOC RPI:100
Expected OOC SOS:56


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
19-1261.29%136.8100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Belmont.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Portland St. (221.5)BSkyN74-67W100%0.0
11-14Washington (46.7)P10A78-96L0%0.0
11-15Wright St. (80.6)HorzN73-82L0%0.0
11-21Alabama St. (275.4)SWACH78-42W100%0.0
11-28Eastern Illinois (170.5)OVCA95-62W100%0.0
11-30Tennessee St. (259.6)OVCH69-60W100%0.0
12-3Kennesaw St. (284.0)ASunA75-70W100%0.0
12-5Mercer (220.1)ASunA94-90W100%0.0
12-8Middle Tennessee (178.3)SBA83-71W100%0.0
12-16St. Louis (86.4)A10A67-75L0%0.0
12-19Eastern Illinois (170.5)OVCH60-63L0%0.0
12-29Kansas (1.0)B12A51-81L0%0.0
1-2Florida Gulf Coast (321.3)ASunH63-66L0%0.0
1-4Stetson (326.9)ASunH85-71W100%0.0
1-7South Carolina Upstate (306.2)ASunH68-58W100%0.0
1-11Lipscomb (205.6)ASunA53-64L0%0.0
1-14North Florida (236.1)ASunA43-45L0%0.0
1-16Jacksonville (142.7)ASunA66-82L0%0.0
1-21Campbell (183.2)ASunH66-55W100%0.0
1-23East Tennessee St. (121.0)ASunH100-89W100%0.0
1-26Lipscomb (205.6)ASunH72-78L0%0.0
1-30Campbell (183.2)ASunA75-50W100%0.0
2-1East Tennessee St. (121.0)ASunA74-67W100%0.0
2-5Jacksonville (142.7)ASunH73-70W100%0.0
2-7North Florida (236.1)ASunH70-56W100%0.0
2-13South Carolina Upstate (306.2)ASunA70-57W100%0.0
2-18Stetson (326.9)ASunA79-70W100%0.0
2-20Florida Gulf Coast (321.3)ASunA80-85L0%0.0
2-25Mercer (220.1)ASunH77-73W100%0.0
2-27Kennesaw St. (284.0)ASunH74-42W100%0.0
3-4Mercer (220.1)ASunA81-87L0%0.0