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Through games of Mar 11, 2012.

Belmont

Conference:ASun
Expected RPI:58.0
Current RPI:58
Expected SOS:191
Current Record:26-7
Expected Record:26-7
Current Conf Record:19-2
Expected Conf Record:19-2
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:100.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:11-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:13-2
Current OOC Record:7-5
Expected OOC Record:7-5
Expected OOC RPI:56
Expected OOC SOS:66


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
26-778.79%58.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Belmont.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11Duke (5.0)ACCA77-76L0%0.0
11-15Memphis (16.0)CUSAA97-81L0%0.0
11-19Towson (311.0)CAAN87-41W100%0.0
11-20Middle Tennessee (56.0)SBA84-87W100%0.0
12-1Kennesaw St. (331.0)ASunH98-52W100%0.0
12-3Mercer (132.0)ASunH82-78W100%0.0
12-6Tennessee St. (107.0)OVCH75-62W100%0.0
12-13Middle Tennessee (56.0)SBA65-62L0%0.0
12-15Troy (260.0)SBH78-55W100%0.0
12-17Miami OH (247.0)MACA66-61L0%0.0
12-19Marshall (43.0)CUSAA87-86L0%0.0
12-21Austin Peay (193.0)OVCA67-77W100%0.0
12-29Marshall (43.0)CUSAH79-74W100%0.0
1-2North Florida (180.0)ASunA53-83W100%0.0
1-4Jacksonville (264.0)ASunA63-75W100%0.0
1-6Lipscomb (225.0)ASunH74-85L0%0.0
1-14Stetson (267.0)ASunH84-71W100%0.0
1-16Florida Gulf Coast (208.0)ASunH95-53W100%0.0
1-21South Carolina Upstate (140.0)ASunA79-78L0%0.0
1-23East Tennessee St. (179.0)ASunA70-82W100%0.0
1-28Jacksonville (264.0)ASunH85-71W100%0.0
1-30North Florida (180.0)ASunH83-69W100%0.0
2-3Lipscomb (225.0)ASunA58-84W100%0.0
2-6Austin Peay (193.0)OVCH94-55W100%0.0
2-11Florida Gulf Coast (208.0)ASunA63-86W100%0.0
2-13Stetson (267.0)ASunA93-106W100%0.0
2-18East Tennessee St. (179.0)ASunH80-58W100%0.0
2-20South Carolina Upstate (140.0)ASunH88-79W100%0.0
2-23Kennesaw St. (331.0)ASunA50-90W100%0.0
2-25Mercer (132.0)ASunA61-62W100%0.0
2-29Jacksonville (264.0)ASunN76-62W100%0.0
3-2East Tennessee St. (179.0)ASunN69-61W100%0.0
3-3Florida Gulf Coast (208.0)ASunN69-83W100%0.0