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Through games of Mar 11, 2012.

Southern

Conference:SWAC
Expected RPI:281.0
Current RPI:281
Expected SOS:344
Current Record:14-14
Expected Record:14-14
Current Conf Record:13-5
Expected Conf Record:13-5
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:0-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:14-7
Current OOC Record:1-9
Expected OOC Record:1-9
Expected OOC RPI:339
Expected OOC SOS:302


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
14-1450.00%281.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Southern.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Texas A&M (165.0)B12A83-58L0%0.0
11-17Rice (171.0)CUSAA80-65L0%0.0
11-22Providence (156.0)BEA59-53L0%0.0
11-25Florida A&M (316.0)MEACN64-61W100%0.0
11-26Northern Colorado (262.0)BSkyN57-77L0%0.0
11-30Tulane (250.0)CUSAA78-53L0%0.0
12-10Jacksonville St. (216.0)OVCN50-55L0%0.0
12-12Southeastern Louisiana (318.0)SlndA65-61L0%0.0
12-17Texas El Paso (147.0)CUSAA87-57L0%0.0
12-19New Mexico St. (59.0)WACA91-66L0%0.0
1-3Prairie View A&M (294.0)SWACA65-73W100%0.0
1-5Texas Southern (234.0)SWACA73-39L0%0.0
1-7Grambling (341.0)SWACH72-59W100%0.0
1-9Jackson St. (322.0)SWACH68-37W100%0.0
1-14Arkansas Pine Bluff (302.0)SWACA68-69W100%0.0
1-16Mississippi Valley St. (144.0)SWACA77-56L0%0.0
1-21Alabama A&M (342.0)SWACH75-69W100%0.0
1-23Alabama St. (308.0)SWACH68-56W100%0.0
1-28Alcorn St. (335.0)SWACH65-54W100%0.0
2-4Grambling (341.0)SWACA53-57W100%0.0
2-6Jackson St. (322.0)SWACA44-49W100%0.0
2-11Arkansas Pine Bluff (302.0)SWACH58-64L0%0.0
2-13Mississippi Valley St. (144.0)SWACH53-58L0%0.0
2-18Alabama A&M (342.0)SWACA65-72W100%0.0
2-20Alabama St. (308.0)SWACA53-55W100%0.0
2-25Alcorn St. (335.0)SWACA60-40L0%0.0
3-1Prairie View A&M (294.0)SWACH64-63W100%0.0
3-3Texas Southern (234.0)SWACH56-54W100%0.0