Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Southern   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Southern

Conference:SWAC
Expected RPI:343.0
Current RPI:343
Expected SOS:336
Current Record:5-24
Expected Record:5-24
Current Conf Record:3-15
Expected Conf Record:3-15
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:0-7
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:5-13
Current OOC Record:2-9
Expected OOC Record:2-9
Expected OOC RPI:314
Expected OOC SOS:225


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
5-2417.24%343.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Southern.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-16Baylor (8.6)B12A45-61L0%0.0
11-18Oklahoma St. (31.2)B12A61-93L0%0.0
11-21Utah (156.1)MWCA48-88L0%0.0
11-24Brigham Young (21.9)MWCA51-107L0%0.0
11-27Wofford (68.8)SCN66-81L0%0.0
11-28Presbyterian (329.4)BSthN69-71L0%0.0
12-4Stephen F. Austin (143.1)SlndA52-79L0%0.0
12-5Central Arkansas (320.1)SlndN63-79L0%0.0
12-12New Orleans (323.2)SBH78-73W100%0.0
12-16Southeastern Louisiana (193.0)SlndA48-94L0%0.0
12-30Chicago St. (344.3)GWCH67-60W100%0.0
1-4Prairie View A&M (273.1)SWACA49-68L0%0.0
1-6Texas Southern (222.1)SWACA68-82L0%0.0
1-9Grambling (339.7)SWACH73-67W100%0.0
1-11Jackson St. (197.2)SWACH46-57L0%0.0
1-16Arkansas Pine Bluff (185.5)SWACA51-64L0%0.0
1-18Mississippi Valley St. (325.7)SWACA45-57L0%0.0
1-23Alabama A&M (331.0)SWACH63-70L0%0.0
1-25Alabama St. (275.4)SWACH60-77L0%0.0
1-30Alcorn St. (345.5)SWACH84-75W100%0.0
2-6Grambling (339.7)SWACA59-65L0%0.0
2-8Jackson St. (197.2)SWACA53-63L0%0.0
2-13Arkansas Pine Bluff (185.5)SWACH62-66L0%0.0
2-15Mississippi Valley St. (325.7)SWACH48-54L0%0.0
2-20Alabama A&M (331.0)SWACA54-65L0%0.0
2-22Alabama St. (275.4)SWACA64-73L0%0.0
2-27Alcorn St. (345.5)SWACA60-57W100%0.0
3-4Prairie View A&M (273.1)SWACH69-75L0%0.0
3-6Texas Southern (222.1)SWACH62-66L0%0.0