Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Missouri   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 6, 2010.

Missouri

Conference:B12
Expected RPI:37.7
Current RPI:47
Expected SOS:41
Current Record:17-6
Expected Record:23-10
Current Conf Record:5-3
Expected Conf Record:11-7
Expected Conf Tourney Record:1-1
Probability of Auto Bid:10.19%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:3-5
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:2-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:3-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:8-2
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:6-0
Current OOC Record:12-3
Expected OOC Record:12-3
Expected OOC RPI:56
Expected OOC SOS:164


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
28-682.35%8.10.21%
27-779.41%11.31.49%
26-778.79%15.50.42%
25-778.12%19.40.34%
27-877.14%13.50.02%
26-876.47%15.74.66%
25-875.76%20.92.69%
24-875.00%26.32.28%
26-974.29%19.40.72%
25-973.53%21.26.97%
24-972.73%28.18.13%
23-971.88%34.76.87%
25-1071.43%27.02.16%
24-1070.59%30.96.53%
23-1069.70%37.311.73%
22-1068.75%44.59.32%
24-1168.57%34.92.92%
23-1167.65%41.45.47%
22-1166.67%48.79.54%
23-1265.71%42.91.36%
21-1165.62%56.45.14%
22-1264.71%50.72.01%
21-1263.64%59.04.42%
22-1362.86%51.10.25%
20-1262.50%66.61.94%
21-1361.76%59.30.36%
20-1360.61%66.71.24%
21-1460.00%61.80.06%
19-1359.38%76.00.50%
20-1458.82%65.00.01%
19-1457.58%75.20.17%
18-1456.25%85.80.05%
18-1554.55%97.00.01%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Missouri.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-17Tennessee Martin (335.5)OVCH83-68W100%0.0
11-22Texas Pan American (325.6)GWCH100-44W100%0.0
11-24Chattanooga (221.7)SCH99-56W100%0.0
11-27Old Dominion (34.2)CAAN66-61W100%0.0
11-28Richmond (39.3)A10N52-59L0%0.0
12-2Vanderbilt (23.4)SECA83-89L0%0.0
12-5Oregon (155.5)P10H106-69W100%0.0
12-9Oral Roberts (120.4)SumA59-60L0%0.0
12-12Fairleigh Dickinson (278.4)NECH87-36W100%0.0
12-19Arkansas Pine Bluff (201.2)SWACH88-70W100%0.0
12-23Illinois (78.6)B10N81-68W100%0.0
12-27Austin Peay (129.8)OVCH94-79W100%0.0
12-30Missouri Kansas City (278.3)SumH91-57W100%0.0
1-2Georgia (105.6)SECH89-61W100%0.0
1-6Savannah St. (321.5)indH74-45W100%0.0
1-9Kansas St. (7.1)B12H74-68W100%0.0
1-13Texas Tech (58.4)B12A94-89W100%0.0
1-16Oklahoma (84.2)B12A61-66L0%0.0
1-23Nebraska (130.3)B12H70-53W100%0.0
1-25Kansas (1.9)B12A65-84L0%0.0
1-30Oklahoma St. (50.6)B12H95-80W100%0.0
2-3Texas A&M (26.5)B12H74-77L0%0.0
2-6Colorado (138.2)B12A84-66W100%0.0
2-10Iowa St. (114.5)B12H0-088%13.1
2-13Baylor (24.9)B12A0-041%-2.4
2-17Texas (15.6)B12H0-057%2.0
2-20Nebraska (130.3)B12A0-071%5.9
2-24Colorado (138.2)B12H0-091%14.3
2-27Kansas St. (7.1)B12A0-032%-5.2
3-2Iowa St. (114.5)B12A0-068%5.1
3-6Kansas (1.9)B12H0-041%-2.4