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Through games of Mar 11, 2012.

Illinois

Conference:B10
Expected RPI:92.0
Current RPI:92
Expected SOS:32
Current Record:17-15
Expected Record:17-15
Current Conf Record:6-13
Expected Conf Record:6-13
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:3-8
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:4-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:5-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:5-0
Current OOC Record:11-2
Expected OOC Record:11-2
Expected OOC RPI:46
Expected OOC SOS:135


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
17-1553.12%92.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Illinois.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11Loyola Chicago (309.0)HorzH67-49W100%0.0
11-14SIU Edwardsville (300.0)OVCH66-46W100%0.0
11-17Lipscomb (225.0)ASunH79-64W100%0.0
11-22Richmond (127.0)A10N70-61W100%0.0
11-23Illinois St. (100.0)MVCN59-63W100%0.0
11-27Chicago St. (336.0)GWCH90-43W100%0.0
11-29Maryland (105.0)ACCA62-71W100%0.0
12-3Gonzaga (25.0)WCCH82-75W100%0.0
12-7St. Bonaventure (72.0)A10H48-43W100%0.0
12-11Coppin St. (276.0)MEACH80-63W100%0.0
12-17Nevada Las Vegas (21.0)MWCN48-64L0%0.0
12-19Cornell (181.0)IvyH64-60W100%0.0
12-22Missouri (10.0)B12N78-74L0%0.0
12-27Minnesota (89.0)B10H81-72W100%0.0
12-31Purdue (48.0)B10A75-60L0%0.0
1-4Northwestern (63.0)B10A56-57W100%0.0
1-7Nebraska (154.0)B10H59-54W100%0.0
1-10Ohio St. (7.0)B10H79-74W100%0.0
1-19Penn St. (161.0)B10A54-52L0%0.0
1-22Wisconsin (23.0)B10H63-67L0%0.0
1-28Minnesota (89.0)B10A77-72L0%0.0
1-31Michigan St. (4.0)B10H42-41W100%0.0
2-5Northwestern (63.0)B10H70-74L0%0.0
2-9Indiana (17.0)B10A84-71L0%0.0
2-12Michigan (14.0)B10A70-61L0%0.0
2-15Purdue (48.0)B10H62-67L0%0.0
2-18Nebraska (154.0)B10A80-57L0%0.0
2-21Ohio St. (7.0)B10A83-67L0%0.0
2-26Iowa (130.0)B10H65-54W100%0.0
3-1Michigan (14.0)B10H61-72L0%0.0
3-4Wisconsin (23.0)B10A70-56L0%0.0
3-8Iowa (130.0)B10N64-61L0%0.0