live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Bracket Busters - Blog


Through games of Mar 11, 2012.

Rutgers

Conference:BE
Expected RPI:163.0
Current RPI:163
Expected SOS:62
Current Record:14-18
Expected Record:14-18
Current Conf Record:6-13
Expected Conf Record:6-13
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:4-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:2-8
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:2-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:6-0
Current OOC Record:8-5
Expected OOC Record:8-5
Expected OOC RPI:196
Expected OOC SOS:230


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
14-1843.75%163.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Rutgers.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11Dartmouth (328.0)IvyH62-56W100%0.0
11-15Miami FL (60.0)ACCA72-57L0%0.0
11-17Sacred Heart (237.0)NECH91-75W100%0.0
11-20Hampton (306.0)MEACH66-52W100%0.0
11-22Illinois St. (100.0)MVCN70-76L0%0.0
11-23Richmond (127.0)A10N53-58L0%0.0
11-28MD Baltimore County (339.0)AEH94-56W100%0.0
12-3Louisiana St. (84.0)SECH50-55L0%0.0
12-7Princeton (87.0)IvyH57-59L0%0.0
12-12Monmouth (236.0)NECH81-66W100%0.0
12-17Stony Brook (152.0)AEN58-67W100%0.0
12-22NJ Inst of Technology (304.0)GWCH77-53W100%0.0
12-29Florida (30.0)SECH85-83W100%0.0
1-1South Florida (52.0)BEA67-65L0%0.0
1-4West Virginia (57.0)BEH64-85L0%0.0
1-7Connecticut (32.0)BEH67-60W100%0.0
1-11Pittsburgh (96.0)BEA39-62W100%0.0
1-14West Virginia (57.0)BEA84-60L0%0.0
1-16Notre Dame (39.0)BEH65-58W100%0.0
1-21Georgetown (15.0)BEA52-50L0%0.0
1-25DePaul (198.0)BEH64-69L0%0.0
1-28Cincinnati (44.0)BEH61-54W100%0.0
2-1Providence (156.0)BEA78-67L0%0.0
2-4Louisville (13.0)BEA78-66L0%0.0
2-8Seton Hall (68.0)BEH54-59L0%0.0
2-15Notre Dame (39.0)BEA71-53L0%0.0
2-19Syracuse (1.0)BEH64-74L0%0.0
2-22Marquette (9.0)BEA82-65L0%0.0
2-25Seton Hall (68.0)BEA72-77W100%0.0
3-1Villanova (121.0)BEH71-77L0%0.0
3-3St. John's (159.0)BEH61-58W100%0.0
3-6Villanova (121.0)BEN49-70L0%0.0