Maryland

Conference:	ACC
Expected RPI:	111.0
Current RPI:	92
Expected SOS:	41
Current Record:	14-9
Expected Record:	16-15
Current Conf Record:	4-5
Expected Conf Record:	6-11
Expected Conf Tourney Record:	0-1
Probability of Auto Bid:	0.12%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:	0-6
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:	1-4
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:	3-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:	6-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:	7-0
Current OOC Record:	10-4
Expected OOC Record:	10-4
Expected OOC RPI:	98
Expected OOC SOS:	134

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final Record	W-L pctg.	Expected RPI	Probability
22-11	66.67%	38.0	0.01%
21-11	65.62%	51.7	0.03%
22-12	64.71%	35.0	0.04%
20-11	64.52%	62.0	0.01%
21-12	63.64%	49.8	0.05%
20-12	62.50%	65.9	0.30%
21-13	61.76%	43.0	0.07%
19-12	61.29%	81.3	0.37%
20-13	60.61%	60.5	0.37%
19-13	59.38%	76.8	2.56%
20-14	58.82%	54.6	0.23%
18-13	58.06%	93.3	2.99%
19-14	57.58%	72.1	0.80%
18-14	56.25%	87.5	8.00%
19-15	55.88%	66.6	0.27%
17-14	54.84%	106.1	13.87%
18-15	54.55%	83.8	1.08%
17-15	53.12%	99.8	13.56%
18-16	52.94%	77.5	0.21%
16-15	51.61%	119.4	24.54%
17-16	51.52%	95.9	0.91%
17-17	50.00%	93.7	0.03%
16-16	50.00%	113.0	8.44%
16-17	48.48%	108.9	0.11%
15-16	48.39%	132.8	17.53%
15-17	46.88%	125.3	0.95%
14-17	45.16%	146.7	2.66%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Maryland.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	NC Wilmington (208.3)	CAA	H	71-62	W	100%	0.0
11-17	Alabama (29.7)	SEC	N	62-42	L	0%	0.0
11-18	Colorado (78.1)	P12	N	71-78	W	100%	0.0
11-20	Iona (38.2)	MAAC	N	63-89	L	0%	0.0
11-25	Florida Gulf Coast (212.7)	ASun	H	73-67	W	100%	0.0
11-29	Illinois (56.7)	B10	H	62-71	L	0%	0.0
12-4	Notre Dame (71.9)	BE	N	78-71	W	100%	0.0
12-7	Mount St. Mary's (290.0)	NEC	H	77-74	W	100%	0.0
12-14	Florida International (213.6)	SB	H	65-61	W	100%	0.0
12-23	Radford (335.2)	BSth	H	65-60	W	100%	0.0
12-28	Albany (206.4)	AE	H	83-72	W	100%	0.0
12-31	Samford (249.0)	SC	H	75-63	W	100%	0.0
1-3	Cornell (182.4)	Ivy	H	70-62	W	100%	0.0
1-8	North Carolina St. (64.3)	ACC	A	79-74	L	0%	0.0
1-11	Wake Forest (182.2)	ACC	H	70-64	W	100%	0.0
1-15	Georgia Tech (172.1)	ACC	H	61-50	W	100%	0.0
1-17	Florida St. (25.0)	ACC	A	84-70	L	0%	0.0
1-21	Temple (28.6)	A10	A	73-60	L	0%	0.0
1-25	Duke (8.8)	ACC	H	61-74	L	0%	0.0
1-28	Virginia Tech (95.1)	ACC	H	73-69	W	100%	0.0
2-1	Miami FL (57.7)	ACC	A	90-86	L	0%	0.0
2-4	North Carolina (5.2)	ACC	H	74-83	L	0%	0.0
2-7	Clemson (165.8)	ACC	A	62-64	W	100%	0.0
2-11	Duke (8.8)	ACC	A	0-0		6%	-17.2
2-16	Boston College (250.9)	ACC	H	0-0		85%	11.3
2-18	Virginia (40.7)	ACC	A	0-0		10%	-14.2
2-21	Miami FL (57.7)	ACC	H	0-0		38%	-3.5
2-25	Georgia Tech (172.1)	ACC	A	0-0		38%	-3.5
2-29	North Carolina (5.2)	ACC	A	0-0		4%	-19.4
3-4	Virginia (40.7)	ACC	H	0-0		24%	-7.7