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Through games of Feb 4, 2012.

Iowa

Conference:B10
Expected RPI:147.8
Current RPI:122
Expected SOS:72
Current Record:13-11
Expected Record:16-17
Current Conf Record:5-6
Expected Conf Record:8-12
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-1
Probability of Auto Bid:0.08%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:1-5
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:3-5
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:4-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:6-0
Current OOC Record:8-5
Expected OOC Record:8-5
Expected OOC RPI:238
Expected OOC SOS:293


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
21-1263.64%79.00.01%
20-1262.50%100.00.01%
20-1360.61%92.50.06%
21-1460.00%62.30.03%
19-1359.38%104.80.32%
20-1458.82%86.70.20%
19-1457.58%105.81.23%
20-1557.14%80.20.08%
18-1456.25%121.31.45%
19-1555.88%99.20.56%
18-1554.55%115.05.15%
19-1654.29%91.20.16%
17-1553.12%132.96.66%
18-1652.94%108.90.60%
17-1651.52%125.09.43%
18-1751.43%98.80.11%
17-1750.00%120.80.69%
16-1650.00%145.515.78%
17-1848.57%115.80.10%
16-1748.48%137.510.79%
16-1847.06%131.90.59%
15-1746.88%160.121.74%
16-1945.71%136.50.02%
15-1845.45%152.75.75%
15-1944.12%147.10.26%
14-1843.75%175.913.16%
14-1942.42%168.81.33%
13-1940.62%191.33.72%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Iowa.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11Chicago St. (337.0)GWCH96-53W100%0.0
11-14North Carolina A&T (262.0)MEACH95-79W100%0.0
11-17Northern Illinois (337.4)MACH88-55W100%0.0
11-20Creighton (20.8)MVCN82-59L0%0.0
11-23Campbell (166.2)BSthH61-77L0%0.0
11-26IUPU Fort Wayne (256.6)SumH82-72W100%0.0
11-29Clemson (149.7)ACCH55-71L0%0.0
12-3Brown (307.0)IvyH75-54W100%0.0
12-6Northern Iowa (65.5)MVCA80-60L0%0.0
12-9Iowa St. (47.8)B12A86-76L0%0.0
12-17Drake (142.8)MVCH82-68W100%0.0
12-19Central Arkansas (300.7)SlndH105-64W100%0.0
12-22Boise St. (184.5)MWCH81-72W100%0.0
12-28Purdue (70.2)B10H76-79L0%0.0
12-31Wisconsin (22.7)B10A65-72W100%0.0
1-4Minnesota (75.9)B10A62-64W100%0.0
1-7Ohio St. (4.0)B10H47-76L0%0.0
1-10Michigan St. (10.3)B10A95-61L0%0.0
1-14Michigan (32.6)B10H75-59W100%0.0
1-17Purdue (70.2)B10A75-68L0%0.0
1-26Nebraska (128.3)B10H73-79L0%0.0
1-29Indiana (23.1)B10A103-89L0%0.0
2-1Minnesota (75.9)B10H63-59W100%0.0
2-4Penn St. (173.5)B10H77-64W100%0.0
2-9Northwestern (75.3)B10A0-030%-5.8
2-16Penn St. (173.5)B10A0-048%-0.5
2-19Indiana (23.1)B10H0-021%-8.7
2-23Wisconsin (22.7)B10H0-016%-11.0
2-26Illinois (47.7)B10A0-022%-8.6
2-29Nebraska (128.3)B10A0-043%-2.0
3-3Northwestern (75.3)B10H0-053%0.9