live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Bracket Busters - Blog


Through games of Feb 7, 2012.

Nebraska

Conference:B10
Expected RPI:136.9
Current RPI:110
Expected SOS:37
Current Record:11-11
Expected Record:13-17
Current Conf Record:3-8
Expected Conf Record:5-14
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-1
Probability of Auto Bid:0.02%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:1-6
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-5
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:4-2
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:6-0
Current OOC Record:8-3
Expected OOC Record:8-3
Expected OOC RPI:128
Expected OOC SOS:251


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
19-1261.29%72.00.01%
20-1360.61%44.00.01%
18-1358.06%75.00.03%
17-1356.67%92.90.07%
17-1454.84%86.10.42%
18-1554.55%65.00.02%
16-1453.33%104.50.94%
17-1553.12%82.60.07%
16-1551.61%97.92.37%
17-1651.52%77.20.05%
16-1650.00%94.90.58%
15-1550.00%116.26.08%
16-1748.48%89.00.08%
15-1648.39%110.95.27%
15-1746.88%105.90.85%
14-1646.67%128.616.39%
15-1845.45%102.50.08%
14-1745.16%123.87.33%
14-1843.75%118.20.76%
13-1743.33%141.826.61%
14-1942.42%118.00.01%
13-1841.94%136.74.44%
13-1940.62%132.40.09%
12-1840.00%155.520.33%
12-1938.71%151.21.03%
11-1936.67%170.56.07%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Nebraska.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11South Dakota (283.1)SumH65-48W100%0.0
11-14Southern California (237.1)P12A61-64W100%0.0
11-20Rhode Island (255.0)A10H83-63W100%0.0
11-23Oregon (92.4)P12H76-83L0%0.0
11-26South Dakota St. (49.5)SumH76-64W100%0.0
11-30Wake Forest (182.2)ACCH53-55L0%0.0
12-4Creighton (24.5)MVCA76-66L0%0.0
12-7Florida Gulf Coast (212.7)ASunH51-50W100%0.0
12-10Texas Christian (133.2)MWCA57-69W100%0.0
12-17Alcorn St. (330.4)SWACH60-46W100%0.0
12-20Central Michigan (271.5)MACH72-69W100%0.0
12-27Wisconsin (23.0)B10H40-64L0%0.0
12-31Michigan St. (9.7)B10H55-68L0%0.0
1-3Ohio St. (4.1)B10A71-40L0%0.0
1-7Illinois (56.7)B10A59-54L0%0.0
1-11Penn St. (172.5)B10H70-58W100%0.0
1-15Wisconsin (23.0)B10A50-45L0%0.0
1-18Indiana (22.0)B10H70-69W100%0.0
1-21Ohio St. (4.1)B10H45-79L0%0.0
1-26Iowa (149.1)B10A73-79W100%0.0
2-2Northwestern (66.4)B10A84-74L0%0.0
2-5Minnesota (71.7)B10H61-69L0%0.0
2-8Michigan (34.3)B10H0-032%-5.2
2-11Penn St. (172.5)B10A0-042%-2.2
2-18Illinois (56.7)B10H0-038%-3.3
2-22Purdue (69.2)B10A0-014%-11.6
2-25Michigan St. (9.7)B10A0-04%-19.1
2-29Iowa (149.1)B10H0-056%1.6
3-3Minnesota (71.7)B10A0-019%-9.7