Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Samford   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 9, 2010.

Samford

Conference:SC
Expected RPI:262.4
Current RPI:262
Expected SOS:188
Current Record:8-20
Expected Record:8-20
Current Conf Record:5-14
Expected Conf Record:5-14
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-6
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:0-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:8-4
Current OOC Record:3-6
Expected OOC Record:3-6
Expected OOC RPI:192
Expected OOC SOS:101


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
8-2028.57%262.4100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Samford.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Kent St. (42.6)MACA66-69L0%0.0
11-14Wisconsin Green Bay (105.5)HorzN68-70L0%0.0
11-15UAB (40.8)CUSAN52-55L0%0.0
11-20Texas A&M (14.9)B12A49-68L0%0.0
11-23McNeese St. (314.4)SlndH68-52W100%0.0
11-28Texas Tech (76.5)B12A53-74L0%0.0
12-3Elon (271.8)SCH55-31W100%0.0
12-5NC Greensboro (248.5)SCH40-73L0%0.0
12-16Alabama (102.6)SECA45-60L0%0.0
12-22Eastern Michigan (199.8)MACA58-56W100%0.0
12-28Chicago St. (343.8)GWCH63-46W100%0.0
1-4Davidson (179.5)SCA56-66L0%0.0
1-14College of Charleston (91.8)SCH67-78L0%0.0
1-16The Citadel (200.5)SCH50-51L0%0.0
1-21Elon (271.8)SCA50-49W100%0.0
1-23NC Greensboro (248.5)SCA70-67W100%0.0
1-25Furman (278.3)SCA58-63L0%0.0
1-28Appalachian St. (98.0)SCH55-68L0%0.0
1-30Western Carolina (117.4)SCH50-62L0%0.0
2-4The Citadel (200.5)SCA57-61L0%0.0
2-6College of Charleston (91.8)SCA54-75L0%0.0
2-10Chattanooga (237.9)SCA78-54W100%0.0
2-13Wofford (66.9)SCH54-59L0%0.0
2-20Chattanooga (237.9)SCH60-54W100%0.0
2-22Georgia Southern (288.0)SCH77-83L0%0.0
2-25Western Carolina (117.4)SCA44-61L0%0.0
2-27Appalachian St. (98.0)SCA68-82L0%0.0
3-5The Citadel (200.5)SCN43-55L0%0.0