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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Samford

Conference:SC
Expected RPI:252.0
Current RPI:252
Expected SOS:271
Current Record:12-19
Expected Record:12-19
Current Conf Record:5-15
Expected Conf Record:5-15
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:3-8
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:9-4
Current OOC Record:7-4
Expected OOC Record:7-4
Expected OOC RPI:152
Expected OOC SOS:307


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
12-1938.71%252.0100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Samford.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Louisville (17.0)ACCA86-45L0%0.0
11-21Kennesaw St. (263.0)ASunH77-65W100%0.0
11-23Troy (293.0)SBN79-83W100%0.0
11-24North Texas (295.0)CUSAA72-74W100%0.0
11-25Idaho (191.0)BSkyN75-58W100%0.0
11-28Austin Peay (184.0)OVCA74-73L0%0.0
12-1Jacksonville St. (309.0)OVCA71-77W100%0.0
12-4Texas (27.0)B12A59-49L0%0.0
12-12Florida A&M (349.0)MEACA67-86W100%0.0
12-18South Alabama (240.0)SBH70-72L0%0.0
12-20Nebraska (165.0)B10A58-69W100%0.0
1-2Mercer (194.0)SCA69-50L0%0.0
1-5The Citadel (322.0)SCH94-74W100%0.0
1-9Wofford (199.0)SCA69-64L0%0.0
1-11Furman (167.0)SCA77-57L0%0.0
1-14East Tennessee St. (85.0)SCH77-81L0%0.0
1-16Western Carolina (166.0)SCH84-68W100%0.0
1-21VMI (316.0)SCA83-76L0%0.0
1-24UNC Greensboro (237.0)SCA86-78L0%0.0
1-30Chattanooga (50.0)SCH56-63L0%0.0
2-1Mercer (194.0)SCH70-85L0%0.0
2-4Furman (167.0)SCH65-67L0%0.0
2-6Wofford (199.0)SCH75-78L0%0.0
2-8The Citadel (322.0)SCA86-95W100%0.0
2-11East Tennessee St. (85.0)SCA94-90L0%0.0
2-13Western Carolina (166.0)SCA76-71L0%0.0
2-18UNC Greensboro (237.0)SCH77-82L0%0.0
2-20VMI (316.0)SCH73-67W100%0.0
2-27Chattanooga (50.0)SCA77-66L0%0.0
3-4VMI (316.0)SCN92-85W100%0.0
3-5Chattanooga (50.0)SCN59-54L0%0.0