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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.


Expected RPI:167.0
Current RPI:167
Expected SOS:191
Current Record:16-15
Expected Record:16-15
Current Conf Record:12-8
Expected Conf Record:12-8
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:3-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:11-5
Current OOC Record:4-7
Expected OOC Record:4-7
Expected OOC RPI:200
Expected OOC SOS:171


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Furman.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Presbyterian (319.0)BSthH63-53W100%0.0
11-17Appalachian St. (259.0)SBA70-79W100%0.0
11-19Charlotte (234.0)CUSAA77-68L0%0.0
11-21Connecticut (32.0)AmerA83-58L0%0.0
11-26Texas A&M Corpus Chris (84.0)SlndN69-73L0%0.0
11-27Mount St. Mary's (245.0)NECN69-60W100%0.0
12-8Liberty (264.0)BSthH79-56W100%0.0
12-12Gardner Webb (210.0)BSthH53-73L0%0.0
12-19Dayton (21.0)A10A70-50L0%0.0
12-22Navy (216.0)PatA62-49L0%0.0
12-29UNC Asheville (137.0)BSthA67-65L0%0.0
1-2VMI (316.0)SCH85-57W100%0.0
1-5UNC Greensboro (237.0)SCA67-66L0%0.0
1-9Chattanooga (50.0)SCH70-55W100%0.0
1-11Samford (252.0)SCH77-57W100%0.0
1-14Mercer (194.0)SCA69-65L0%0.0
1-16The Citadel (322.0)SCA89-86L0%0.0
1-23Wofford (199.0)SCH63-62W100%0.0
1-25VMI (316.0)SCA56-68W100%0.0
1-28Western Carolina (166.0)SCH62-60W100%0.0
1-30East Tennessee St. (85.0)SCH74-70W100%0.0
2-4Samford (252.0)SCA65-67W100%0.0
2-6Chattanooga (50.0)SCA62-54L0%0.0
2-8UNC Greensboro (237.0)SCH79-72W100%0.0
2-11The Citadel (322.0)SCH95-75W100%0.0
2-13Mercer (194.0)SCH85-74W100%0.0
2-20Wofford (199.0)SCA77-73L0%0.0
2-25East Tennessee St. (85.0)SCA80-75L0%0.0
2-27Western Carolina (166.0)SCA73-62L0%0.0
3-5UNC Greensboro (237.0)SCN80-64W100%0.0
3-6East Tennessee St. (85.0)SCN84-76L0%0.0