Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Furman   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Furman

Conference:SC
Expected RPI:278.9
Current RPI:278
Expected SOS:305
Current Record:11-17
Expected Record:11-17
Current Conf Record:7-12
Expected Conf Record:7-12
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-5
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:2-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:9-6
Current OOC Record:4-5
Expected OOC Record:4-5
Expected OOC RPI:260
Expected OOC SOS:323


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
11-1739.29%278.9100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Furman.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-17Presbyterian (329.4)BSthH68-64W100%0.0
11-21Dartmouth (335.0)IvyH83-60W100%0.0
11-24Rice (311.0)CUSAA65-77L0%0.0
11-27NC Asheville (216.9)BSthA72-66W100%0.0
12-3Appalachian St. (100.4)SCA85-82W100%0.0
12-5Western Carolina (121.9)SCH57-64L0%0.0
12-13Clemson (34.3)ACCA53-82L0%0.0
12-18South Carolina St. (220.8)MEACH91-93L0%0.0
12-21South Carolina (93.2)SECA57-81L0%0.0
12-28UC Santa Barbara (101.7)BWN60-72L0%0.0
12-29Utah Valley (342.0)GWCN77-69W100%0.0
1-7Elon (269.0)SCA53-48W100%0.0
1-9NC Greensboro (249.3)SCA78-88L0%0.0
1-13Davidson (179.5)SCH81-86L0%0.0
1-16Georgia Southern (288.0)SCH69-45W100%0.0
1-21College of Charleston (91.1)SCA80-92L0%0.0
1-23The Citadel (198.5)SCA60-70L0%0.0
1-25Samford (262.1)SCH63-58W100%0.0
1-30Wofford (68.8)SCA46-57L0%0.0
2-4NC Greensboro (249.3)SCH72-64W100%0.0
2-6Elon (269.0)SCH55-66L0%0.0
2-10Wofford (68.8)SCH65-76L0%0.0
2-13Chattanooga (238.0)SCA87-78W100%0.0
2-17Georgia Southern (288.0)SCA77-79L0%0.0
2-20Davidson (179.5)SCA58-61L0%0.0
2-25The Citadel (198.5)SCH59-44W100%0.0
2-27College of Charleston (91.1)SCH66-69L0%0.0
3-5NC Greensboro (249.3)SCN65-66L0%0.0