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Through games of Mar 11, 2012.

Furman

Conference:SC
Expected RPI:235.0
Current RPI:235
Expected SOS:273
Current Record:13-16
Expected Record:13-16
Current Conf Record:9-11
Expected Conf Record:9-11
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:3-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:10-7
Current OOC Record:4-5
Expected OOC Record:4-5
Expected OOC RPI:236
Expected OOC SOS:298


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
13-1644.83%235.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Furman.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-14Columbia (186.0)IvyA58-62W100%0.0
11-17Mercer (132.0)ASunH46-66L0%0.0
11-20Loyola Chicago (309.0)HorzH63-51W100%0.0
11-25Clemson (151.0)ACCA59-49L0%0.0
11-30Elon (228.0)SCA77-70L0%0.0
12-3Davidson (66.0)SCA86-65L0%0.0
12-11Jacksonville (264.0)ASunH85-79W100%0.0
12-17Western Kentucky (189.0)SBA63-76W100%0.0
12-20Presbyterian (245.0)BSthA75-71L0%0.0
12-23Georgia (101.0)SECA64-50L0%0.0
12-30NC Wilmington (214.0)CAAA72-61L0%0.0
1-5The Citadel (325.0)SCH77-45W100%0.0
1-7College of Charleston (122.0)SCH43-66L0%0.0
1-12Appalachian St. (258.0)SCA56-50L0%0.0
1-14Western Carolina (220.0)SCA55-58W100%0.0
1-19Georgia Southern (203.0)SCH64-54W100%0.0
1-21Wofford (178.0)SCH72-79L0%0.0
1-26College of Charleston (122.0)SCA63-69W100%0.0
1-28The Citadel (325.0)SCA58-67W100%0.0
2-1Davidson (66.0)SCH53-71L0%0.0
2-4NC Greensboro (231.0)SCH93-85W100%0.0
2-6Georgia Southern (203.0)SCA64-57L0%0.0
2-9Appalachian St. (258.0)SCH69-79L0%0.0
2-11Western Carolina (220.0)SCH80-66W100%0.0
2-18Samford (269.0)SCA55-49L0%0.0
2-23Chattanooga (310.0)SCH65-55W100%0.0
2-25Wofford (178.0)SCA67-52L0%0.0
3-2Samford (269.0)SCN66-75W100%0.0
3-3Davidson (66.0)SCN73-54L0%0.0