Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Liberty   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Liberty

Conference:BSth
Expected RPI:232.0
Current RPI:232
Expected SOS:259
Current Record:12-16
Expected Record:12-16
Current Conf Record:10-9
Expected Conf Record:10-9
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-10
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:11-3
Current OOC Record:2-7
Expected OOC Record:2-7
Expected OOC RPI:252
Expected OOC SOS:135


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
12-1642.86%232.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Liberty.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13George Mason (158.1)CAAA72-76L0%0.0
11-17Clemson (34.3)ACCH39-79L0%0.0
11-19Old Dominion (26.9)CAAH41-73L0%0.0
11-22Notre Dame (48.1)BEA72-91L0%0.0
11-24Northwestern (115.0)B10A53-69L0%0.0
11-27Mississippi Valley St. (325.7)SWACN72-53W100%0.0
11-28Tennessee St. (259.6)OVCN63-60W100%0.0
12-3Charleston Southern (285.0)BSthH69-53W100%0.0
12-5Coastal Carolina (136.8)BSthH58-73L0%0.0
12-29Central Florida (189.5)CUSAA58-82L0%0.0
12-30Buffalo (108.3)MACN64-81L0%0.0
1-2Virginia Military Inst (309.9)BSthA110-102W100%0.0
1-7Presbyterian (329.4)BSthA77-67W100%0.0
1-9Winthrop (159.8)BSthA62-65L0%0.0
1-14Gardner Webb (318.0)BSthH68-57W100%0.0
1-16NC Asheville (216.9)BSthH70-74L0%0.0
1-21High Point (253.8)BSthA53-81L0%0.0
1-23Radford (169.2)BSthA60-55W100%0.0
1-28Virginia Military Inst (309.9)BSthH91-73W100%0.0
2-4Winthrop (159.8)BSthH43-67L0%0.0
2-6Presbyterian (329.4)BSthH60-57W100%0.0
2-11NC Asheville (216.9)BSthA72-75L0%0.0
2-13Gardner Webb (318.0)BSthA69-61W100%0.0
2-16Radford (169.2)BSthH69-74L0%0.0
2-20High Point (253.8)BSthH76-67W100%0.0
2-25Coastal Carolina (136.8)BSthA48-71L0%0.0
2-27Charleston Southern (285.0)BSthA74-61W100%0.0
3-2Winthrop (159.8)BSthA72-80L0%0.0