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Through games of Mar 11, 2012.

Liberty

Conference:BSth
Expected RPI:283.0
Current RPI:283
Expected SOS:302
Current Record:11-18
Expected Record:11-18
Current Conf Record:9-10
Expected Conf Record:9-10
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:2-8
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:9-9
Current OOC Record:2-8
Expected OOC Record:2-8
Expected OOC RPI:336
Expected OOC SOS:323


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
11-1837.93%283.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Liberty.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-9Texas A&M (165.0)B12A81-59L0%0.0
11-14William & Mary (299.0)CAAA72-75W100%0.0
11-18Eastern Kentucky (226.0)OVCH65-73L0%0.0
11-19Lehigh (91.0)PatH80-90L0%0.0
11-20William & Mary (299.0)CAAH64-65L0%0.0
11-26Georgia St. (141.0)CAAA72-50L0%0.0
12-1Campbell (206.0)BSthA96-82L0%0.0
12-3Coastal Carolina (182.0)BSthA78-68L0%0.0
12-6NC Wilmington (214.0)CAAH68-77L0%0.0
12-17Hampton (306.0)MEACH74-65W100%0.0
12-28Richmond (127.0)A10A77-61L0%0.0
12-31Charleston Southern (162.0)BSthH76-81L0%0.0
1-2Presbyterian (245.0)BSthH56-63L0%0.0
1-7NC Asheville (104.0)BSthA98-75L0%0.0
1-10Virginia Military Inst (259.0)BSthA71-57L0%0.0
1-12Radford (329.0)BSthH69-64W100%0.0
1-14Winthrop (272.0)BSthH61-64L0%0.0
1-21High Point (268.0)BSthA78-84W100%0.0
1-26Winthrop (272.0)BSthA65-63L0%0.0
1-28Radford (329.0)BSthA65-67W100%0.0
2-2Gardner Webb (293.0)BSthH63-58W100%0.0
2-4NC Asheville (104.0)BSthH51-65L0%0.0
2-9Charleston Southern (162.0)BSthA74-75W100%0.0
2-11Presbyterian (245.0)BSthA64-77W100%0.0
2-14Virginia Military Inst (259.0)BSthH78-69W100%0.0
2-18Morgan St. (286.0)MEACA81-69L0%0.0
2-23Coastal Carolina (182.0)BSthH61-57W100%0.0
2-25Campbell (206.0)BSthH49-41W100%0.0
2-29Charleston Southern (162.0)BSthN88-74L0%0.0