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Through games of Mar 17, 2013.

Idaho

Conference:WAC
Expected RPI:195.0
Current RPI:195
Expected SOS:130
Current Record:11-18
Expected Record:11-18
Current Conf Record:7-12
Expected Conf Record:7-12
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-9
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:2-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:9-2
Current OOC Record:4-6
Expected OOC Record:4-6
Expected OOC RPI:168
Expected OOC SOS:101


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
11-1837.93%195.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Idaho.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-9Wright St. (129.0)HorzH70-80L0%0.0
11-17Montana (66.0)BSkyH63-66L0%0.0
11-20Wisconsin Green Bay (160.0)HorzH72-62W100%0.0
11-23New Mexico (2.0)MWCA73-58L0%0.0
11-28Washington St. (196.0)P12A64-55L0%0.0
12-1UC Davis (234.0)BWH73-66W100%0.0
12-6Eastern Washington (321.0)BSkyA79-81W100%0.0
12-8Texas El Paso (95.0)CUSAA64-60L0%0.0
12-20Boise St. (45.0)MWCN78-68L0%0.0
12-29Seattle (303.0)WACA64-71W100%0.0
1-3San Jose St. (261.0)WACA55-64W100%0.0
1-5Utah St. (108.0)WACA82-75L0%0.0
1-10Denver (64.0)WACH49-55L0%0.0
1-12New Mexico St. (55.0)WACH70-71L0%0.0
1-17Louisiana Tech (53.0)WACA72-66L0%0.0
1-19Texas Arlington (119.0)WACA64-77W100%0.0
1-24Texas St. (272.0)WACH73-78L0%0.0
1-26Texas San Antonio (260.0)WACH74-70W100%0.0
1-31Utah St. (108.0)WACH67-77L0%0.0
2-2San Jose St. (261.0)WACH66-63W100%0.0
2-7New Mexico St. (55.0)WACA76-74L0%0.0
2-9Denver (64.0)WACA74-58L0%0.0
2-14Texas Arlington (119.0)WACH68-71L0%0.0
2-16Louisiana Tech (53.0)WACH61-67L0%0.0
2-23Idaho St. (337.0)BSkyA69-75W100%0.0
2-28Texas San Antonio (260.0)WACA74-56L0%0.0
3-2Texas St. (272.0)WACA81-90W100%0.0
3-9Seattle (303.0)WACH76-72W100%0.0
3-14New Mexico St. (55.0)WACN65-49L0%0.0