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Through games of Mar 17, 2013.

Montana

Conference:BSky
Expected RPI:66.0
Current RPI:66
Expected SOS:241
Current Record:23-6
Expected Record:23-6
Current Conf Record:21-1
Expected Conf Record:21-1
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:100.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:2-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:2-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:19-0
Current OOC Record:2-5
Expected OOC Record:2-5
Expected OOC RPI:147
Expected OOC SOS:21


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
23-679.31%66.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Montana.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-9Colorado St. (18.0)MWCA72-65L0%0.0
11-17Idaho (195.0)WACA63-66W100%0.0
11-24San Diego (165.0)WCCH67-66W100%0.0
11-28Brigham Young (69.0)WCCA85-60L0%0.0
11-30San Francisco (167.0)WCCA78-68L0%0.0
12-15South Dakota St. (62.0)SumH67-68L0%0.0
12-19Northern Arizona (255.0)BSkyA56-62W100%0.0
12-21Sacramento St. (283.0)BSkyA60-61W100%0.0
1-3Eastern Washington (321.0)BSkyH81-66W100%0.0
1-5Portland St. (339.0)BSkyH62-55W100%0.0
1-10North Dakota (226.0)BSkyA62-77W100%0.0
1-12Northern Colorado (257.0)BSkyA77-85W100%0.0
1-17Southern Utah (314.0)BSkyH73-67W100%0.0
1-19Montana St. (317.0)BSkyH76-71W100%0.0
1-24Idaho St. (337.0)BSkyH70-51W100%0.0
1-26Weber St. (84.0)BSkyH76-74W100%0.0
1-31Portland St. (339.0)BSkyA68-81W100%0.0
2-2Eastern Washington (321.0)BSkyA46-65W100%0.0
2-7Northern Colorado (257.0)BSkyH73-63W100%0.0
2-9North Dakota (226.0)BSkyH78-58W100%0.0
2-14Weber St. (84.0)BSkyA87-63L0%0.0
2-16Idaho St. (337.0)BSkyA54-61W100%0.0
2-23Davidson (61.0)SCA93-87L0%0.0
3-2Montana St. (317.0)BSkyA68-71W100%0.0
3-4Southern Utah (314.0)BSkyA74-86W100%0.0
3-7Sacramento St. (283.0)BSkyH63-52W100%0.0
3-9Northern Arizona (255.0)BSkyH63-50W100%0.0
3-15Northern Colorado (257.0)BSkyH70-56W100%0.0
3-16Weber St. (84.0)BSkyH67-64W100%0.0