Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Montana   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Montana

Conference:BSky
Expected RPI:97.3
Current RPI:97
Expected SOS:204
Current Record:20-9
Expected Record:20-9
Current Conf Record:13-6
Expected Conf Record:13-6
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:100.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:2-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:9-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:9-3
Current OOC Record:7-3
Expected OOC Record:7-3
Expected OOC RPI:79
Expected OOC SOS:195


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
20-968.97%97.3100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Montana.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13North Dakota (339.3)GWCH61-37W100%0.0
11-14Boise St. (202.8)WACH95-82W100%0.0
11-15Loyola Marymount (174.0)WCCH64-63W100%0.0
11-19Denver (164.4)SBA49-56L0%0.0
11-23Oregon (138.5)P10A68-55W100%0.0
11-29Washington (46.7)P10A59-63L0%0.0
12-4Northern Arizona (198.2)BSkyH71-54W100%0.0
12-5Northern Colorado (116.7)BSkyH48-59L0%0.0
12-10Loyola Marymount (174.0)WCCA82-73W100%0.0
12-12Colorado St. (119.8)MWCA61-62L0%0.0
12-19UC Riverside (255.6)BWH67-52W100%0.0
12-21Fresno St. (190.4)WACH59-56W100%0.0
12-31Idaho St. (303.8)BSkyA65-67L0%0.0
1-2Weber St. (84.7)BSkyA56-64L0%0.0
1-8Eastern Washington (277.8)BSkyH79-66W100%0.0
1-9Portland St. (221.5)BSkyH90-58W100%0.0
1-15Sacramento St. (297.0)BSkyA57-56W100%0.0
1-23Montana St. (200.5)BSkyA52-61L0%0.0
1-28Northern Colorado (116.7)BSkyA64-62W100%0.0
1-30Northern Arizona (198.2)BSkyA84-64W100%0.0
2-5Weber St. (84.7)BSkyH75-61W100%0.0
2-6Idaho St. (303.8)BSkyH91-68W100%0.0
2-12Portland St. (221.5)BSkyA81-76W100%0.0
2-14Eastern Washington (277.8)BSkyA68-69L0%0.0
2-20Sacramento St. (297.0)BSkyH86-58W100%0.0
2-27Montana St. (200.5)BSkyH67-73L0%0.0
3-6Northern Arizona (198.2)BSkyH81-60W100%0.0
3-9Northern Colorado (116.7)BSkyN68-63W100%0.0
3-10Weber St. (84.7)BSkyA66-65W100%0.0