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Through games of Mar 11, 2012.

Montana

Conference:BSky
Expected RPI:74.0
Current RPI:74
Expected SOS:203
Current Record:23-6
Expected Record:23-6
Current Conf Record:17-1
Expected Conf Record:17-1
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:100.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:2-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:4-2
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:16-1
Current OOC Record:6-5
Expected OOC Record:6-5
Expected OOC RPI:107
Expected OOC SOS:83


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
23-679.31%74.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Montana.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11Colorado St. (29.0)MWCA64-58L0%0.0
11-17Idaho (146.0)WACH57-52W100%0.0
11-20San Diego (192.0)WCCA60-73W100%0.0
11-23North Dakota (242.0)GWCA88-81L0%0.0
11-26Long Beach St. (34.0)BWH73-71W100%0.0
12-1San Francisco (136.0)WCCH62-65L0%0.0
12-4Oregon St. (135.0)P12A71-46L0%0.0
12-10Nevada (65.0)WACH64-70L0%0.0
12-17Portland (238.0)WCCA65-80W100%0.0
12-22Utah Valley (230.0)GWCH65-52W100%0.0
12-28Portland St. (187.0)BSkyH75-64W100%0.0
12-30Eastern Washington (209.0)BSkyH79-71W100%0.0
1-7Idaho St. (290.0)BSkyA44-68W100%0.0
1-12Northern Arizona (337.0)BSkyA53-78W100%0.0
1-14Weber St. (70.0)BSkyA80-64L0%0.0
1-19Northern Colorado (262.0)BSkyH76-58W100%0.0
1-21Sacramento St. (315.0)BSkyH85-56W100%0.0
1-26Eastern Washington (209.0)BSkyA60-74W100%0.0
1-29Portland St. (187.0)BSkyA67-69W100%0.0
2-4Montana St. (275.0)BSkyA58-67W100%0.0
2-6Idaho St. (290.0)BSkyH76-40W100%0.0
2-9Northern Colorado (262.0)BSkyA68-75W100%0.0
2-11Sacramento St. (315.0)BSkyA58-67W100%0.0
2-18Hawaii (204.0)WACH94-79W100%0.0
2-23Northern Arizona (337.0)BSkyH78-60W100%0.0
2-25Montana St. (275.0)BSkyH57-47W100%0.0
2-28Weber St. (70.0)BSkyH66-51W100%0.0
3-6Eastern Washington (209.0)BSkyH74-66W100%0.0
3-7Weber St. (70.0)BSkyH85-66W100%0.0