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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.


Expected RPI:145.0
Current RPI:145
Expected SOS:259
Current Record:18-11
Expected Record:18-11
Current Conf Record:16-5
Expected Conf Record:16-5
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:2-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:16-3
Current OOC Record:2-6
Expected OOC Record:2-6
Expected OOC RPI:198
Expected OOC SOS:26


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Montana.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Boise St. (101.0)MWCH74-72W100%0.0
11-16San Jose St. (301.0)MWCA64-61L0%0.0
11-25North Dakota St. (120.0)SumA73-53L0%0.0
11-29Pepperdine (129.0)WCCA69-63L0%0.0
12-4San Francisco (228.0)WCCH82-50W100%0.0
12-8Gonzaga (46.0)WCCA61-58L0%0.0
12-12Washington (83.0)P12A92-62L0%0.0
12-19Kansas (1.0)B12A88-46L0%0.0
12-31Northern Arizona (333.0)BSkyA84-90W100%0.0
1-2Southern Utah (336.0)BSkyA66-83W100%0.0
1-7Portland St. (282.0)BSkyH79-66W100%0.0
1-9Sacramento St. (273.0)BSkyH77-58W100%0.0
1-14Northern Colorado (304.0)BSkyA66-73W100%0.0
1-16North Dakota (218.0)BSkyA61-65W100%0.0
1-21Idaho (191.0)BSkyH58-63L0%0.0
1-23Eastern Washington (233.0)BSkyH74-69W100%0.0
1-30Montana St. (260.0)BSkyA72-80W100%0.0
2-4Sacramento St. (273.0)BSkyA83-79L0%0.0
2-6Portland St. (282.0)BSkyA80-82W100%0.0
2-11Southern Utah (336.0)BSkyH86-53W100%0.0
2-13Northern Arizona (333.0)BSkyH85-67W100%0.0
2-20Montana St. (260.0)BSkyH87-78W100%0.0
2-25Idaho St. (256.0)BSkyA77-90W100%0.0
2-27Weber St. (108.0)BSkyA60-54L0%0.0
3-3North Dakota (218.0)BSkyH71-46W100%0.0
3-5Northern Colorado (304.0)BSkyH72-78L0%0.0
3-10Sacramento St. (273.0)BSkyN70-53W100%0.0
3-11Idaho (191.0)BSkyN81-72W100%0.0
3-12Weber St. (108.0)BSkyN62-59L0%0.0