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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.


Expected RPI:115.0
Current RPI:115
Expected SOS:136
Current Record:20-12
Expected Record:20-12
Current Conf Record:8-11
Expected Conf Record:8-11
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-6
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:7-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:11-0
Current OOC Record:12-1
Expected OOC Record:12-1
Expected OOC RPI:91
Expected OOC SOS:326


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Northwestern.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13UMass Lowell (261.0)AEH79-57W100%0.0
11-18Fairfield (142.0)MAACH79-72W100%0.0
11-20Columbia (132.0)IvyH83-80W100%0.0
11-23North Carolina (5.0)ACCN80-69L0%0.0
11-24Missouri (222.0)SECN67-62W100%0.0
11-28New Orleans (343.0)SlndH90-63W100%0.0
12-1Virginia Tech (89.0)ACCA79-81W100%0.0
12-5SIU Edwardsville (305.0)OVCH81-56W100%0.0
12-13Chicago St. (348.0)WACH77-35W100%0.0
12-15Mississippi Valley St. (330.0)SWACH78-48W100%0.0
12-19DePaul (198.0)BEA70-78W100%0.0
12-21Sacred Heart (258.0)NECH103-67W100%0.0
12-27Loyola MD (255.0)PatH74-59W100%0.0
12-30Nebraska (165.0)B10A72-81W100%0.0
1-2Maryland (14.0)B10H59-72L0%0.0
1-6Ohio St. (74.0)B10H56-65L0%0.0
1-9Minnesota (257.0)B10A52-77W100%0.0
1-12Wisconsin (43.0)B10H70-65W100%0.0
1-16Penn St. (125.0)B10H62-71L0%0.0
1-19Maryland (14.0)B10A62-56L0%0.0
1-23Indiana (24.0)B10A89-57L0%0.0
1-28Michigan St. (12.0)B10H45-76L0%0.0
1-31Iowa (28.0)B10A85-71L0%0.0
2-4Minnesota (257.0)B10H82-58W100%0.0
2-9Ohio St. (74.0)B10A71-63L0%0.0
2-13Illinois (149.0)B10H58-56W100%0.0
2-16Purdue (15.0)B10A71-61L0%0.0
2-24Michigan (56.0)B10A72-63L0%0.0
2-27Rutgers (294.0)B10H98-59W100%0.0
3-3Penn St. (125.0)B10A61-71W100%0.0
3-6Nebraska (165.0)B10H65-54W100%0.0
3-10Michigan (56.0)B10N72-70L0%0.0