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Through games of Mar 11, 2012.

Fairfield

Conference:MAAC
Expected RPI:115.0
Current RPI:115
Expected SOS:131
Current Record:19-14
Expected Record:19-14
Current Conf Record:14-7
Expected Conf Record:14-7
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-5
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:6-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:11-1
Current OOC Record:5-7
Expected OOC Record:5-7
Expected OOC RPI:138
Expected OOC SOS:61


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
19-1457.58%115.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Fairfield.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11Quinnipiac (155.0)NECN60-72W100%0.0
11-14Providence (156.0)BEH72-80L0%0.0
11-17Minnesota (89.0)B10A67-57L0%0.0
11-20Holy Cross (177.0)PatH73-52W100%0.0
11-24Arizona St. (252.0)P12N55-44W100%0.0
11-25Dayton (81.0)A10N49-56L0%0.0
11-27Indiana St. (129.0)MVCN72-66L0%0.0
12-2Niagara (201.0)MAACA75-79W100%0.0
12-4Canisius (333.0)MAACA59-68W100%0.0
12-9Old Dominion (103.0)CAAN59-51W100%0.0
12-11New Hampshire (296.0)AEH58-52W100%0.0
12-22Connecticut (32.0)BEA79-71L0%0.0
12-28Drexel (64.0)CAAA77-69L0%0.0
1-1Canisius (333.0)MAACH72-54W100%0.0
1-6Siena (218.0)MAACA73-60L0%0.0
1-8Manhattan (149.0)MAACA53-51L0%0.0
1-13Loyola MD (77.0)MAACH63-66L0%0.0
1-16Rider (199.0)MAACH61-52W100%0.0
1-19St. Peter's (305.0)MAACA63-75W100%0.0
1-27Iona (40.0)MAACH62-71L0%0.0
1-29Marist (223.0)MAACH81-53W100%0.0
2-3Niagara (201.0)MAACH77-69W100%0.0
2-5Siena (218.0)MAACH64-56W100%0.0
2-9Manhattan (149.0)MAACH60-54W100%0.0
2-12Loyola MD (77.0)MAACA51-68W100%0.0
2-15St. Peter's (305.0)MAACH61-38W100%0.0
2-18Wisconsin Milwaukee (125.0)HorzA67-63L0%0.0
2-20Marist (223.0)MAACA49-60W100%0.0
2-24Iona (40.0)MAACA77-72L0%0.0
2-26Rider (199.0)MAACA65-62L0%0.0
3-3Rider (199.0)MAACN65-63W100%0.0
3-4Iona (40.0)MAACN75-85W100%0.0
3-5Loyola MD (77.0)MAACN48-44L0%0.0