live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Bracket Busters - Blog


Through games of Mar 11, 2012.

Manhattan

Conference:MAAC
Expected RPI:149.0
Current RPI:149
Expected SOS:258
Current Record:20-12
Expected Record:20-12
Current Conf Record:12-7
Expected Conf Record:12-7
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:2-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:17-2
Current OOC Record:8-5
Expected OOC Record:8-5
Expected OOC RPI:143
Expected OOC SOS:290


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
20-1262.50%149.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Manhattan.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-12NJ Inst of Technology (304.0)GWCH62-48W100%0.0
11-14Syracuse (1.0)BEA92-56L0%0.0
11-15Brown (313.0)IvyN52-54W100%0.0
11-21Fresno St. (229.0)WACN83-85W100%0.0
11-22Colorado St. (29.0)MWCA91-86L0%0.0
11-26Columbia (186.0)IvyH41-59L0%0.0
11-29Pennsylvania (98.0)IvyA75-72L0%0.0
12-2Rider (199.0)MAACA55-71W100%0.0
12-4St. Peter's (305.0)MAACH68-42W100%0.0
12-7Fordham (240.0)A10H81-47W100%0.0
12-10Hofstra (263.0)CAAA59-68W100%0.0
12-20Towson (311.0)CAAA62-81W100%0.0
12-23George Mason (82.0)CAAA81-61L0%0.0
12-30Binghamton (344.0)AEA51-94W100%0.0
1-2Rider (199.0)MAACH77-88L0%0.0
1-5Loyola MD (77.0)MAACA61-60L0%0.0
1-8Fairfield (115.0)MAACH53-51W100%0.0
1-12Iona (40.0)MAACA72-75W100%0.0
1-14Siena (218.0)MAACH72-53W100%0.0
1-20Marist (223.0)MAACA44-61W100%0.0
1-22Niagara (201.0)MAACH71-64W100%0.0
1-27Canisius (333.0)MAACA66-78W100%0.0
1-29Niagara (201.0)MAACA70-87W100%0.0
2-2Marist (223.0)MAACH73-51W100%0.0
2-4Iona (40.0)MAACH73-85L0%0.0
2-9Fairfield (115.0)MAACA60-54L0%0.0
2-11St. Peter's (305.0)MAACA63-85W100%0.0
2-14Siena (218.0)MAACA70-64L0%0.0
2-18NC Wilmington (214.0)CAAH79-64W100%0.0
2-24Canisius (333.0)MAACH90-77W100%0.0
2-26Loyola MD (77.0)MAACH60-62L0%0.0
3-3Siena (218.0)MAACN82-84L0%0.0