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Through games of Feb 4, 2012.

Fordham

Conference:A10
Expected RPI:248.4
Current RPI:222
Expected SOS:132
Current Record:9-13
Expected Record:10-19
Current Conf Record:2-7
Expected Conf Record:3-13
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-6
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:2-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:7-3
Current OOC Record:7-6
Expected OOC Record:7-6
Expected OOC RPI:196
Expected OOC SOS:265


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
15-1746.88%150.00.01%
14-1646.67%186.60.05%
14-1745.16%171.00.04%
13-1644.83%209.00.01%
14-1843.75%165.00.02%
13-1743.33%201.60.86%
13-1841.94%192.30.12%
12-1741.38%217.31.17%
13-1940.62%181.70.03%
12-1840.00%217.23.76%
12-1938.71%205.70.28%
11-1837.93%233.213.93%
12-2037.50%193.00.02%
11-1936.67%231.96.08%
11-2035.48%222.00.05%
10-1934.48%248.739.64%
10-2033.33%247.11.40%
9-2031.03%264.632.52%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Fordham.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-12Syracuse (3.4)BEA78-53L0%0.0
11-18Binghamton (343.4)AEH64-49W100%0.0
11-26Loyola Chicago (309.5)HorzA64-50L0%0.0
11-29Colgate (294.4)PatH79-69W100%0.0
12-1Lehigh (108.1)PatH60-78L0%0.0
12-5Hampton (302.3)MEACH54-53W100%0.0
12-7Manhattan (106.7)MAACA81-47L0%0.0
12-10Monmouth (275.7)NECA80-65L0%0.0
12-12Siena (224.5)MAACA59-74W100%0.0
12-17St. John's (160.1)BEA56-50L0%0.0
12-22Texas St. (317.1)SlndH81-70W100%0.0
12-29Georgia Tech (174.6)ACCH72-66W100%0.0
1-3Harvard (45.6)IvyH60-54W100%0.0
1-5Massachusetts (81.7)A10A80-76L0%0.0
1-7Xavier (61.0)A10H59-67L0%0.0
1-11Saint Joseph's (55.3)A10A80-62L0%0.0
1-18Rhode Island (256.0)A10H66-64W100%0.0
1-21St. Bonaventure (98.5)A10A95-51L0%0.0
1-25Richmond (138.9)A10A102-58L0%0.0
1-28George Washington (201.7)A10H63-58W100%0.0
2-1Temple (28.2)A10A78-60L0%0.0
2-4Charlotte (144.3)A10H62-69L0%0.0
2-11Dayton (83.1)A10H0-016%-11.0
2-15Duquesne (86.2)A10H0-019%-9.6
2-18St. Louis (28.7)A10A0-01%-25.7
2-22St. Bonaventure (98.5)A10H0-017%-10.4
2-25La Salle (70.5)A10H0-011%-13.3
2-29Rhode Island (256.0)A10A0-028%-6.3
3-3Temple (28.2)A10H0-08%-15.0