Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Davidson   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Davidson

Conference:SC
Expected RPI:179.5
Current RPI:180
Expected SOS:151
Current Record:14-15
Expected Record:14-15
Current Conf Record:11-8
Expected Conf Record:11-8
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-5
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:5-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:8-2
Current OOC Record:3-7
Expected OOC Record:3-7
Expected OOC RPI:216
Expected OOC SOS:45


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
14-1548.28%179.5100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Davidson.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-14Butler (11.9)HorzA62-73L0%0.0
11-19South Florida (70.5)BEN58-65L0%0.0
11-20La Salle (175.3)A10N70-84L0%0.0
11-22Penn St. (194.0)B10N57-59L0%0.0
11-28Rhode Island (37.1)A10H65-75L0%0.0
12-3The Citadel (198.5)SCA74-63W100%0.0
12-5College of Charleston (91.1)SCA55-67L0%0.0
12-12Gonzaga (37.1)WCCN91-103L0%0.0
12-20Cornell (47.6)IvyN88-91L0%0.0
12-21Hofstra (145.0)CAAN61-52W100%0.0
12-28Pennsylvania (301.4)IvyH79-50W100%0.0
12-30Massachusetts (174.2)A10H63-61W100%0.0
1-4Samford (262.1)SCH66-56W100%0.0
1-9Appalachian St. (100.4)SCH68-78L0%0.0
1-13Furman (278.9)SCA86-81W100%0.0
1-16Wofford (68.8)SCA62-68L0%0.0
1-20Western Carolina (121.9)SCH67-77L0%0.0
1-23Georgia Southern (288.0)SCA91-87W100%0.0
1-28College of Charleston (91.1)SCH86-71W100%0.0
1-30The Citadel (198.5)SCH67-63W100%0.0
2-6Georgia Southern (288.0)SCH84-74W100%0.0
2-11Appalachian St. (100.4)SCA56-66L0%0.0
2-13Western Carolina (121.9)SCA75-72W100%0.0
2-17Wofford (68.8)SCH51-73L0%0.0
2-20Furman (278.9)SCH61-58W100%0.0
2-22Chattanooga (238.0)SCA73-78L0%0.0
2-24NC Greensboro (249.3)SCH60-56W100%0.0
2-27Elon (269.0)SCA99-96W100%0.0
3-5Elon (269.0)SCN59-66L0%0.0