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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.


Expected RPI:162.0
Current RPI:162
Expected SOS:114
Current Record:15-16
Expected Record:15-16
Current Conf Record:6-13
Expected Conf Record:6-13
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-6
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:3-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:10-1
Current OOC Record:9-3
Expected OOC Record:9-3
Expected OOC RPI:120
Expected OOC SOS:282


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Duquesne.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-16New Orleans (343.0)SlndH95-75W100%0.0
11-20Penn St. (125.0)B10H78-52W100%0.0
11-23Pepperdine (129.0)WCCN70-84L0%0.0
11-24Milwaukee (173.0)HorzN96-92W100%0.0
11-25Western Kentucky (153.0)CUSAN73-81W100%0.0
12-1Mississippi Valley St. (330.0)SWACH91-77W100%0.0
12-4Pittsburgh (53.0)ACCN75-96L0%0.0
12-8UMBC (335.0)AEH89-70W100%0.0
12-12St. Francis PA (266.0)NECA65-67W100%0.0
12-16South Carolina St. (203.0)MEACH83-68W100%0.0
12-19Robert Morris (291.0)NECH72-65W100%0.0
12-29Georgia Tech (69.0)ACCA73-67L0%0.0
1-2Dayton (21.0)A10H58-66L0%0.0
1-6Davidson (64.0)A10A77-66L0%0.0
1-9George Washington (68.0)A10A91-64L0%0.0
1-13Saint Louis (206.0)A10H81-71W100%0.0
1-16St. Bonaventure (30.0)A10H95-88W100%0.0
1-20VCU (37.0)A10A93-71L0%0.0
1-22George Mason (201.0)A10A75-86W100%0.0
1-26La Salle (232.0)A10H87-60W100%0.0
1-30Saint Louis (206.0)A10A67-78W100%0.0
2-6Davidson (64.0)A10H82-93L0%0.0
2-9Dayton (21.0)A10A76-74L0%0.0
2-14Massachusetts (171.0)A10H99-108L0%0.0
2-17George Washington (68.0)A10H74-81L0%0.0
2-20Rhode Island (119.0)A10A77-74L0%0.0
2-24St. Bonaventure (30.0)A10A80-76L0%0.0
2-27Richmond (121.0)A10H67-83L0%0.0
3-2Fordham (176.0)A10H69-78L0%0.0
3-5Saint Joseph's (22.0)A10A70-78W100%0.0
3-9La Salle (232.0)A10N73-88L0%0.0