live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog



Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Bucknell

Conference:Pat
Expected RPI:183.0
Current RPI:183
Expected SOS:240
Current Record:16-13
Expected Record:16-13
Current Conf Record:14-5
Expected Conf Record:14-5
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:3-7
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:13-5
Current OOC Record:2-8
Expected OOC Record:2-8
Expected OOC RPI:259
Expected OOC SOS:158


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
16-1355.17%183.0100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Bucknell.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-15Wake Forest (159.0)ACCH82-90L0%0.0
11-18Robert Morris (291.0)NECA76-81W100%0.0
11-21Manhattan (229.0)MAACA67-80W100%0.0
11-24Siena (104.0)MAACH81-83L0%0.0
11-28Penn St. (125.0)B10A62-58L0%0.0
12-2Columbia (132.0)IvyH61-72L0%0.0
12-5North Carolina St. (123.0)ACCA99-86L0%0.0
12-8Mount St. Mary's (245.0)NECA81-73L0%0.0
12-22Princeton (39.0)IvyA89-77L0%0.0
12-27Fairfield (142.0)MAACH91-101L0%0.0
12-30Navy (216.0)PatH88-58W100%0.0
1-2Army (214.0)PatA76-84W100%0.0
1-6American (231.0)PatH72-54W100%0.0
1-9Holy Cross (248.0)PatH98-71W100%0.0
1-11Lehigh (168.0)PatA76-82W100%0.0
1-16Colgate (241.0)PatH73-84L0%0.0
1-20Loyola MD (255.0)PatA58-67W100%0.0
1-23Boston University (196.0)PatA71-74W100%0.0
1-25Lafayette (329.0)PatH79-67W100%0.0
1-30Army (214.0)PatH94-66W100%0.0
2-3American (231.0)PatA69-55L0%0.0
2-6Holy Cross (248.0)PatA52-77W100%0.0
2-10Lehigh (168.0)PatH65-80L0%0.0
2-13Colgate (241.0)PatA91-81L0%0.0
2-17Loyola MD (255.0)PatH87-52W100%0.0
2-21Boston University (196.0)PatH80-59W100%0.0
2-24Lafayette (329.0)PatA83-86W100%0.0
2-27Navy (216.0)PatA73-77W100%0.0
3-3Holy Cross (248.0)PatH72-77L0%0.0