Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Monmouth   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Monmouth

Conference:NEC
Expected RPI:288.9
Current RPI:289
Expected SOS:309
Current Record:12-19
Expected Record:12-19
Current Conf Record:6-11
Expected Conf Record:6-11
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:2-10
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:10-8
Current OOC Record:6-8
Expected OOC Record:6-8
Expected OOC RPI:295
Expected OOC SOS:345


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
12-1938.71%288.9100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Monmouth.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Florida International (296.0)SBH99-70W100%0.0
11-15Seton Hall (59.6)BEH72-87L0%0.0
11-17St. Peter's (181.2)MAACA34-58L0%0.0
11-23Lehigh (151.8)PatA74-86L0%0.0
11-27Wyoming (227.6)MWCA75-73W100%0.0
11-28Pepperdine (304.1)WCCN73-82L0%0.0
11-29Hampton (283.5)MEACN56-59L0%0.0
12-5Sacred Heart (262.1)NECA73-81L0%0.0
12-9Rutgers (160.9)BEA52-66L0%0.0
12-12Pennsylvania (301.4)IvyH80-75W100%0.0
12-16Princeton (133.1)IvyA42-46L0%0.0
12-19Rider (140.8)MAACH63-70L0%0.0
12-23Texas A&M Corpus Chris (168.4)SlndH65-51W100%0.0
1-2Quinnipiac (146.8)NECH72-60W100%0.0
1-7Central Connecticut (309.1)NECH55-42W100%0.0
1-9Bryant (345.2)indH67-62W100%0.0
1-14St. Francis PA (286.7)NECA63-53W100%0.0
1-16Robert Morris (128.6)NECA67-78L0%0.0
1-21St. Francis PA (286.7)NECH69-40W100%0.0
1-23Robert Morris (128.6)NECH53-66L0%0.0
1-28Central Connecticut (309.1)NECA44-66L0%0.0
1-30Bryant (345.2)indA50-46W100%0.0
2-4Fairleigh Dickinson (270.7)NECA69-75L0%0.0
2-6Fairleigh Dickinson (270.7)NECH65-71L0%0.0
2-11Mount St. Mary's (171.3)NECH42-69L0%0.0
2-13Wagner (332.0)NECH76-67W100%0.0
2-18St. Francis NY (294.9)NECA51-49W100%0.0
2-20Long Island (240.0)NECA74-83L0%0.0
2-25Quinnipiac (146.8)NECA63-82L0%0.0
2-27Sacred Heart (262.1)NECH63-68L0%0.0
3-4Quinnipiac (146.8)NECA75-84L0%0.0