Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Wagner   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Wagner

Conference:NEC
Expected RPI:332.0
Current RPI:332
Expected SOS:281
Current Record:5-26
Expected Record:5-26
Current Conf Record:3-14
Expected Conf Record:3-14
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:2-8
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:3-16
Current OOC Record:2-12
Expected OOC Record:2-12
Expected OOC RPI:327
Expected OOC SOS:296


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
5-2616.13%332.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Wagner.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Lafayette (209.5)PatA72-81L0%0.0
11-21Stony Brook (141.4)AEH48-72L0%0.0
11-24NJ Inst of Technology (341.0)GWCA51-56L0%0.0
11-28Bucknell (258.5)PatH61-85L0%0.0
12-3St. Francis PA (286.7)NECA42-69L0%0.0
12-5Robert Morris (128.6)NECA70-73L0%0.0
12-8Columbia (251.3)IvyH91-102L0%0.0
12-12St. Peter's (181.2)MAACA59-58W100%0.0
12-17Brigham Young (21.9)MWCA61-77L0%0.0
12-19Nevada (72.9)WACA61-74L0%0.0
12-22Jackson St. (197.2)SWACN71-62W100%0.0
12-23Chicago St. (344.3)GWCN63-78L0%0.0
12-28NJ Inst of Technology (341.0)GWCH56-65L0%0.0
12-30Princeton (133.1)IvyA42-45L0%0.0
1-4Brown (256.6)IvyA71-72L0%0.0
1-7Sacred Heart (262.1)NECA59-75L0%0.0
1-9Quinnipiac (146.8)NECA66-78L0%0.0
1-14Long Island (240.0)NECH64-79L0%0.0
1-16St. Francis NY (294.9)NECH53-60L0%0.0
1-21Long Island (240.0)NECA65-59W100%0.0
1-23St. Francis NY (294.9)NECA54-57L0%0.0
1-28Quinnipiac (146.8)NECH57-66L0%0.0
1-30Sacred Heart (262.1)NECH74-73W100%0.0
2-4Mount St. Mary's (171.3)NECA44-69L0%0.0
2-6Mount St. Mary's (171.3)NECH50-66L0%0.0
2-11Fairleigh Dickinson (270.7)NECA65-70L0%0.0
2-13Monmouth (288.9)NECA67-76L0%0.0
2-18Bryant (345.2)indH51-53L0%0.0
2-20Central Connecticut (309.1)NECH60-62L0%0.0
2-25Robert Morris (128.6)NECH55-76L0%0.0
2-27St. Francis PA (286.7)NECH81-76W100%0.0